• Seth Golden posted an update 4 years, 6 months ago

    While shifted positively toward the end of the week, the S&P has still fallen 1% in the last month. Returns in earnings periods are good, but are even better when the S&P is negative into earnings. Looking back to 1990, the S&P has risen an average of 2% in the first 2W of earnings season when it’s been negative in the month prior to earnings. Looking at the post GFC period, returns aren’t quite as good, but you still see a +1.5% return in the first 2W of earnings following a negative 1M return.

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