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RonTurkey posted an update 6 years, 1 month ago
@seth-golden generally speaking, safe to short UVXY again? or are you looking for a higher level of contango or other indicators, especially with the revised changes to its guts? VVIX continues to stay elevated, relatively speaking. Seems like the “ALL CLEAR” has not been announced yet.. haha.
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kellykline started the topic Christopher Cole of ArtemisCM – Long Vol Strategy in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 2 months ago
@seth-golden, I read the Artemiscm white paper on Reflexivity in the Shadows of Black Monday.
Seem pretty scary and prescient given the Feb 5th event. Chris suggests a vol regime change where being long volatility will significantly outperform short volatility in 2018 and beyond given its hedge against market turmoil, which apparently is only a…[Read more]
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volguru replied to the topic Discrepancies between VXX, TVIX & UVXY in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 2 months ago
@seth-golden Thats a helpful perspective. What i meant by broken is that dont expect them to trade like they should in times of distress. else, no reason why VXX was trading at a higher % gain then both TVIX/UVXY on Feb 6th if i remember correctly.
P.S. VXX shorts availability are back on Fidelity @2.5% cost to borrow
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RonTurkey posted a new activity comment 6 years, 2 months ago
Were these sent today? I haven’t received any messages in the FinomGroup inbox. Just FYI. @seth-golden
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RonTurkey replied to the topic Fed 2:00pm in the forum Volatility Playground: Causation of the day! 6 years, 2 months ago
Can you can provide a simple example? @seth-golden
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RonTurkey replied to the topic Fed 2:00pm in the forum Volatility Playground: Causation of the day! 6 years, 2 months ago
@seth-golden can you explain or send link or article that explains how the LOB works?
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RonTurkey replied to the topic Short VXX and UVXY with protection against Black Swan in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 2 months ago
@seth-golden Seth, I noticed you tended to dissuade this trade with that example of capital size “at this stage of the bull cycle.” So, how are you weighting this conclusion to @ultrafeel? Imo, the time management is the issue. It’s not worth all the time spent to manage a 10k account shorting vol (unless you did a set it and forget it core…[Read more]
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kellykline replied to the topic Govt’ Shutdown in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 3 months ago
Excellent Opportunity, like how @seth-golden and @david-moadel puts it. I’m glad I have liquidity going into this, just need to be disciplined when layering my shorts. I expect it to spike, but I sometimes short it too early.
My plan:
1. watch finomgroup for advice and guidance from the pros
2. only commit 10% of funds a day to short vol
3.…[Read more] -
RonTurkey posted a new activity comment 6 years, 3 months ago
@seth-golden the alerts have been going into my junk mail… it’s changed now, but i kept trying to find the alerts on the website, but i now understand they were going via email.. Others may have the same problem.. just fyi!
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RonTurkey replied to the topic China Crackdown on Cryptos in the forum Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, & Altcoins 6 years, 3 months ago
if you want to look at bitcoin’s past, it can get crushed and hover for months. I was early enough to the game that bitcoin has to drop a hell of a lot more than this for me to start suffering losses – so I’m lucky in that aspect. Take it for what it’s worth, but my gut tells me the exchanges and ICO’s and Mining sites are trying to accomplish…[Read more]
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RonTurkey replied to the topic Good Probability for Shorting in the forum Target (TGT) 6 years, 3 months ago
Just need to keep in mind that TGT ex div/record date is mid February. My only other potential concern is if Amazon comes out with a bid acquisition. You would be more knowledgeable than most on this. This trade likely works out fine, but those are my concerns and I will refrain from participating. @seth-golden
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stockboy7254 started the topic Apple in the forum Apple Inc. (AAPL) 6 years, 3 months ago
@seth-golden Seth very nice swing trade on Apple well done !!!!!
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vibrantcosmos started the topic China Buying Treasuries in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 6 years, 3 months ago
Can you do an article on the treasury bond and how it relates to equities ? appreciate if you can target it to rookie.
How and why is China buying US Treasuries and whats in them to buy/stop now ?
If this really…[Read more]
Safer is a better word for shorting VOL and it will always be found defining that margin of safety through liquidity. With a full core holding I am continuing to look for scalps on VXX, but using UVXY for LOBs