Volatility Review Monetizing the convexity risk premium, US structuredproduct dynamics, Positioning update Implied convexity continues to exhibit very high levels of stress and lags the recovery in other risk premia. We recommend monetizing this rich risk premium by selling Jun’21 variance swaps vs. buying 0.75x the vega notional in Jun’21 vol swaps on the S&P 500.Additionally, steep longer-dated skew and…
J.P. Morgan & Merrill Lynch Lay of the Market Land
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Weekly State of the Market: Consolidation Arrives
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Markets are fundamentally volatile. No way around it. Your problem is not in the math. There is no math to...
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Marko Kolanovic/J.P. Morgan 2020 Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK: Our view is that the market turmoil and economic slowdown over the past 18 months is not...
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Found A Bottom? Bridge To The Other Side
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
After a strong relief rally, the S&P 500 (SPX) once again suffered from selling pressure and ended in the...
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Weekly State of the Market: Overheated Markets And Opportunities
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Market participants can access data points; access is NOT the struggle. The struggle is in the SEQUENCING of data...
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Weekly Warm-up: Running with the Bulls Can Be Dangerous
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
A hotter but shorter economic cycle has implications for asset allocation as well as equity portfolio construction. In the...
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Disinflation Hiccup or Derailed in 2024
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Welcome back to this weekend’s Research Report! This weekend’s Report is in PDF format due to issues the Host was having...
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Weekly Warm-up: Strong Dollar Just Another Headwind for Earnings, Leaving Unfinished Business for the Bear
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
A very strong US dollar provides yet another headwind for earnings. Meanwhile, from a historical perspective, this bear market...
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Geopolitical Concerns Weigh Heavily Against Earnings Season
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 2
Words carry meaning! As an investor, when contemplating those words in the geopolitical and macro realm, deciphering words and...
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