Good weekend Finom Group investors and traders. As a reminder, throughout the month of December, our chief equity market...
Context and Comprehension are Key 🔑 A woman without her man is nothing! A woman: without her, man is...
CTAs’ net long position in USD/JPY cut by half from its recent peak Macro hedge funds may act on...
Seasonal trends are mostly about knowing where to look… and when! For this weekend Research note we are going...
NVIDIA reported Oct results (revenue/GMs/EPS ) well above consensus and off of a higher Oct-Qtr revenue base, the team...
The Major Trend Index moved up to the neutral zone in the week ended November 17th, winding up a...
At a time when some are calling for a pause on the development of generative artificial intelligence, Jensen Huang,...
How about them Small-caps? How about that follow-through? How about the 3-week rally which has seen the S&P 500...
The Leuthold Group tactical accounts remain positioned defensively, although not to the extent they could be given the bearish...
The last two trading weeks have not made the bulls whole, but have certainly slashed the hopes of those...
In January, the “inventor” of the yield-curve indicator—Campbell Harvey of Duke University—suggested that the inversion of the 10Y/3M spread...
Nobody, not once, not ever, said it would be easy to make money in the financial markets as an...
Equity sentiment declined for the first time since May Our Sell Side Indicator (SSI) is a contrarian sentiment barometer...
Since our publication of Cost of Higher for Longer in February, we have seen interest rates across the curve...
9 key macro events this week, but Treasury refunding most important arguably. Incoming data likely soft-ish which should help...
The war between Hamas and Israel – and the potential for escalation to the wider region – has increased...
Markets are showing increasing stress, deteriorating market internals/breadth, and investors will advantage themselves with a game plan. Check out...
While there are plenty of events and fundamental data points worth considering, we find many remain fixated on the...
There was a great deal of concern for the manner in which the equity markets closed the week, 2...
A Note: Structurally, the market needs breadth to improve this week, which demands improved performance from Equal-Weights and Small-Caps!...
Despite another positive weekly performance by the S&P 500 (SPX) this past trading week, it didn’t really feel that...
In lieu of our regularly scheduled State of the Market video analysis, this week we offer a general public...
Fiscal constraints limit policy response at a time when cyclical risks persist. Market breadth reflects this dynamic as the...
The analysis and Research within comes via the monthly Macro-Memo from RBC Capital Wealth Advisors: We have been predicting...
The weekend is where many a discipline and devoted investor/portfolio manager spend most of their free time in the...
“The most important financial lessons aren’t learned slowly during bull markets. They are seared into your brain in bear...
1. The economy is holding up better than expected, but recession risk remains. In the third quarter, easing inflation...
Thank goodness that is over with; September and the historically weaker returns associated with Q3 are complete! The period...
On markets, not much has changed since our August Rasputin piece. While most leading indicators point to weaker US...
In my conversations over the years with retail investors — many of whom are novices (not that there’s anything...
Key takeaways Soft landing (47% Bearish signals vs 58% in Sep-22), but still below-trend outlook; mfg take-off unlikely before...
September is very much living up to its usual swooning of price action, and finding investors recoiling. The seasonality...
Let’s begin with a mea culpa. In my note of 18 May 2023, I wrote that the risk/reward for equities...
A “soft landing” for the economy in the US seems increasingly possible, so we look back at previous similar episodes...
The explosion of interest in artificial intelligence this year has fueled a major rally in technology stocks, with a concentrated group...
Let’s not blow things out of proportion, as the first full trading week of September and month-to-date returns are...
The Paradox: The #1 concern for most investors/traders forces the diversification of a portfolio, which ultimately and perpetually underperforms...
RBC Capital’s chief market strategist Lori Calvasina: Welcome to RBC’s Markets in Motion podcast recording August 28th, 2023. I’m...
Well, it looks like I’ll be the only one at Finom Group working this weekend. Edward and the Support...
Cross-Asset Strategy: US Q2 reporting delivered soft earnings growth and less upbeat corporate guidance, as corporates are seeing demand...
The U.S. money supply is shrinking for the first time since 1949, as savings deposits decline and the Federal...
Capital Economics We think the 10-year Treasury yield will end the year well below its current level. The sell-off in...
Keep it simple stunad! Permabears/doomsayers live in a world of predetermined, low probability, negative finality. Bulls/optimists get paid! You...
Price momentum is a key driver of sentiment, especially in a late cycle environment when uncertainty about the outcome...
August has proven itself to be a “Wall of Worry” and the point for which the former “good overbought”...
Question: “How do you perform well over time and never let the volatility deter you?” Answer: “Position long, hope...
