Macro Strategy—Businesses have responded to unprecedented U.S. consumer-demand strength and rising capacity utilization rates by bringing real equipment investment slightly above pre-pandemic levels as 2021 progressed, with strong investment plans for 2022, especially in automation and production re-shoring. Still, big upside risks to consumer demand, logistical backlogs and labor shortages suggest supply may continue to lag demand, keeping upside pressure…
Merrill Lynch: Excessive Consumer Demand
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The J.P. Morgan View – Global Asset Allocation: UW Credit Relative to Equities and Commodities
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-Asset Strategy: While growth risks are elevated, our base case looks for an acceleration in global growth in the...
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Market Recovery Process Meets Resurgence Fears
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
After retreating some 4.7% in the previous week, the S&P 500 (SPX) took back some of the consolidation. For...
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The Myths of Stocks For The Long Run-Part II: By Lance Roberts
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Written by Lance Roberts | Jun, 11, 2018 Crashes Matter A Lot In Part I – Buy and Hold can be...
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Morgan Stanley Focus On Low Bar Set Up For 2020
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
At first glance, U.S. equities seem to be riding a bullish wave. The S&P 500 is up more than...
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Weekly State of The Market: You Don’t Need to Know, But Pay Attention
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In The Illusion of Knowledge (September 2022), I railed against macro forecasting, which in our profession mostly concerns the next year...
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The Bulls Are Back In Town After a Brief Vacation
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
This weekend is an off-reporting weekend, but we encourage our members to maintain a fluid understanding of the week-to-week...
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A Gift-Giving Time for Markets: The TOY
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
How about them Small-caps? How about that follow-through? How about the 3-week rally which has seen the S&P 500...
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Seasonal Sale For Risk Assets
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The consolidation phase is upon us. It is more recognizably taking place, and as usual, causing investors to doubt...
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