The Leuthold Group The Major Trend Index was unchanged at a High Neutral reading of +1 for the week ended November 1st. The Sentiment factors moved up a notch to -3, while numerous downgrades within the Technical work were not quite enough to knock that category’s reading down from a solidly bullish tally of +4. In the Cyclical segment, improving…
Another Recession Signal, As Warren Buffett Raises More Cash
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History Doesn’t Always Repeat, But It Often Rhymes
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
If there is 1-thing I’ve learned from the markets over my 24 years, it’s that down is going to...
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J.P. Morgan Sees More Market Upside
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Corporate outlook continues to improve on stronger than expected economic and earnings recovery, constructive guidance, as well as positive...
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It’s Never Easy For Investors When The Fed Is Overly Involved
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With consecutive down weeks for the markets and the manner in which this past Friday played out for investors,...
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Equity Markets Building Momentum Off Technical Bottom: Events of The Week
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Despite the recent level setting of market expectations and more recent equilibrium found in the major indices, I wouldn’t...
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Unimaginable Conditions Produce Inconceivable Outcomes
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The S&P 500 (SPX) did exact what everyone expected it to do this past trading week. If you believe...
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Fundstrat: Risk On To 4,500
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
STRATEGY: July/August “chop” morphing into full Missouri (aka “show me state”) –> tilting us further into “risk-on” view –>...
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The Leuthold Group: Putting The “Sahm Rule” To The Test
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In January, the “inventor” of the yield-curve indicator—Campbell Harvey of Duke University—suggested that the inversion of the 10Y/3M spread...
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Weekly Warm-up: Strong Earnings vs Mid Cycle De-Rating
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Following very strong 1H earnings, we raise our forecasts that leave us above consensus on 2021 but below on...
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