US Equity Strategy: Equity Risk Premium, Market Multiple, Zero Rates, Liquidity Boom, Long Duration, Sustainable Income. The sharp ~30% recovery in S&P 500 from the Mar 23 trough, even as earnings expectations and macro outlook were steadily being revised lower by the street, has come as a surprise to many. After the market crossed our bear case level of 2,300,…
J.P. Morgan Analysts Assess Risk Premia & Market Mulitple
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Geopolitical Risks Abate At Year-End: Sideways, Higher or Lower From Here?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The trading week that was ended in a manner that many may have not anticipated. As we read this...
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Your Process And The Bull Market Progress
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
As the rally has rolled onward and upward, not everyone will achieve markedly satisfying results. Essentially, there will be...
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J.P. Morgan: Pro-risk stance reinforced by extreme investor negativity, China easing and Q1 earnings
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-asset Strategy: Investor sentiment is reaching extreme weakness, with the AAII bull-bear survey metric recording its lowest reading since...
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Weekly Warm-up: Turn the Page but Not the Narrative
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
A new year brings new investment opportunities even if the narrative isn’t changing. We still recommend a large cap...
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Weekly Warm-up: Outlook Feedback and Consumer Update
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
This week, we provide feedback to our 2022 Outlook—spoiler alert—there wasn’t as much as usual. Meanwhile, consumers are opening...
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Did You Notice The Flight To Safety Last Week?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 3
Divergence! A one-word sentence used appropriately to describe last week’s trading action where the Dow was significantly lower than...
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Gold vs 1360: Round 4
Edward Cordoba, , Research Reports, 0
For this week’s tech report, we focus on that shiny precious metal: gold. Ever since the post-recession high in...
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J.P. Morgan: The other sting in the tail from fiscal policy; higher taxes and the Value rotation
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-asset strategy: This week’s Fed reiteration that it won’t hike for about three years despite extraordinary fiscal stimulus...
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