Seth Golden – Finom Group

Seth Golden posted an update 7 hours, 40 minutes ago

Despite popular belief, the VIX is not mean reverting but mode seeking

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Seth Golden posted an update 20 hours, 27 minutes ago

Historic volatility by month for each year and determined mean

Seth Golden posted an update 1 day, 2 hours ago

Seth Golden posted an update 1 day, 7 hours ago

Very important folks, very important

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Seth Golden posted an update 1 day, 8 hours ago

Currently, the beta of global Hedge Funds to the momentum factor is in its 99th historical %ile, and HFs are underexposed to value (15th %ile) and small caps (7th %ile). This is shown in the table below. We maintain that the rotation from momentum and low-volatility to value that started in September will resume – driven by central bank e…

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Seth Golden posted an update 1 day, 22 hours ago

Another strong week for our Trade Alerts and traders!!

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Seth Golden posted an update 2 days, 7 hours ago

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Seth Golden posted an update 3 days ago

smoother path seen for stocks as Warren election bid potential slips according to Reuters

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Seth Golden posted an update 3 days, 6 hours ago

Here’s Ethan Harris and the BofA Merrill US Economics research team on the trade deal:

The more interesting part of the deal is China’s agreement to dramatically increase imports from the US. China is tasked with increasing agricultural, manufacturing, energy and services by more than 50% this year with another sharp increase in 2021. We rem…[Read more]

Seth Golden posted an update 4 days, 9 hours ago

84% of S&P500 stocks are above their 200-day moving avg, most since September 2014

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 days, 9 hours ago

Economic Policy Uncertainty all-time low

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Seth Golden posted an update 4 days, 9 hours ago

Solid across the board gains this year have put another January Trifecta Jackpot in our sights for 2020. So far our January Trifecta is two for two. Our First Five Day (FFD) early warning system came in positive up 0.7% on January 8 following up on a positive reading for our Santa Claus Rally (SCR) on January 3. The January Trifecta would be…

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Seth Golden posted an update 5 days, 4 hours ago

Jan Hatzius: The FED is firmly on hold
“Fed policy remains firmly locked on hold. The ongoing easing in financial conditions and the strength in the labor market argue against any further cuts, while the weakness in the manufacturing surveys and core PCE inflation of just 1.6% rule out any hikes. With liquidity issues in money markets also on the…[Read more]

Seth Golden posted an update 6 days, 21 hours ago

Consumer confidence is as high in Europe as it is in the United States, as you can see in the chart below. It may seem like a good thing that consumer confidence is high. After all, a strong consumer drives the economy of the U.S. and Europe. Rising confidence from a low level indicates consumers are helping to drive improvement in the…

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Seth Golden posted an update 1 week, 2 days ago

Bernstein initiates FB as BUY – 16% upside:
View Instagram as a key driver of revenue contribution, potentially doubling by 2023 on the back of eCommerce rent. Taking Instagram and under-monetized WhatsApp together, Facebook should capture 40-45 cents of every new ad dollar entering the…

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