Merrill Lynch: Excessive Consumer Demand

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Macro Strategy—Businesses have responded to unprecedented U.S. consumer-demand strength and rising capacity utilization rates by bringing real equipment investment slightly above pre-pandemic levels as 2021 progressed, with strong investment plans for 2022, especially in automation and production re-shoring. Still, big upside risks to consumer demand, logistical backlogs and labor shortages suggest supply may continue to lag demand, keeping upside pressure…

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