The derating of stocks is not over but may take a pause as stimulus boosts liquidity. Our cycle analysis strongly suggest PEs will fall this year as rates rise and earnings revisions flatten out. This is a high conviction, non-consensus view we think is already playing out at the stock level. While unfinished in our view, it may take a…
Morgan Stanley: Downgrade Small Caps
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Analyzing Past Market Conditions, To Plan For Future Market Probabilities
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Good Sunday Finom Group members. As previously mentioned and due to a death in the family, we are not...
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J.P. Morgan Analysts Assess Risk Premia & Market Mulitple
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
US Equity Strategy: Equity Risk Premium, Market Multiple, Zero Rates, Liquidity Boom, Long Duration, Sustainable Income. The sharp ~30%...
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Contango Spreads Across ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY)
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
As the world begins to digest the future state of the Union or the United States of America under...
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Morgan Stanley’s Weekly Warm-up: Tapering on Deck — Stick with Defensive Quality in Factor Frenzy
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
While expected, we think the Fed’s pivot to a more aggressive tapering schedule poses a larger risk for asset...
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Weekly State Of The Market: It’s A Bull Fight
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“The greatest enemy of a good plan is the dream of a perfect plan. Stick to the good plan.”...
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Weekly State of the Market: Bulls In Charge
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Whether we’re talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down. ~Warren Buffett...
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Morgan Stanley: Reaching Herd Immunity
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
When can the US achieve broad vaccination of its population: Using the current rate of daily vaccinations (red line,...
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