The Mid-Cycle Transition Over the past month, we’ve taken a different path than most equity strategists. Rather than getting excited about the reopening, we are getting more concerned about (1) execution risk and (2) what’s already priced in.First, on the execution front, there’s growing evidence that supply remains a problem for many companies, just as demand is picking up. These…
Morgan Stanley: Sunday Start | What’s Next in Global Macro
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Another Recession Signal, As Warren Buffett Raises More Cash
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The Leuthold Group The Major Trend Index was unchanged at a High Neutral reading of +1 for the week...
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Weekly State of the Market: Some Great TIPS
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“I don’t think you can get to be a really good investor over a broad range without doing a...
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Markets Edge Lower, Fed Commentary & Shaken Heads
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 1
Even with better than expected earnings results from the big money center banks and early technology sector reporting, the...
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Big Macro, Big Valuations
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Merrill Lynch: IN THIS ISSUE Macro Strategy—Is Stagflation Likely?: With inflation stubbornly high after briefly surpassing levels not seen...
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At Resistance Levels, Our Eyes Are Wide Open!
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
We’ve made it through another topsy-turvy week in the equity markets relatively unscathed. There was a good deal of...
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Merrill Lynch CIO Market Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Good Sunday and as a reminder, our weekly Research Report issuance will begin again on December 9, 2019. This...
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DataTrek: Labor Market Cooling, But Still Goodd
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Markets: Job openings fell in September according to the latest JOLTS report out today, while our “Take this job...
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Weekly Warm-up: Strong Dollar Just Another Headwind for Earnings, Leaving Unfinished Business for the Bear
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
A very strong US dollar provides yet another headwind for earnings. Meanwhile, from a historical perspective, this bear market...
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