The Mid-Cycle Transition Over the past month, we’ve taken a different path than most equity strategists. Rather than getting excited about the reopening, we are getting more concerned about (1) execution risk and (2) what’s already priced in.First, on the execution front, there’s growing evidence that supply remains a problem for many companies, just as demand is picking up. These…
Morgan Stanley: Sunday Start | What’s Next in Global Macro
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Weekly Warm-up: Outlook Feedback and Consumer Update
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
This week, we provide feedback to our 2022 Outlook—spoiler alert—there wasn’t as much as usual. Meanwhile, consumers are opening...
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How much could AI boost US stocks?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
As investors debate the merits of generative artificial intelligence, a key question is what it could mean for the...
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J.P. Morgan: Risk assets pull back on rates surge and crypto crash appears overdone, not the end of the cycle
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-Asset Strategy: Friday’s strong CPI print that led to a surge in yields, along with the sell-off in crypto...
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Man Institute: If history is any guide, at this juncture bonds may be a more attractive proposition than equities, at least in the short term.
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Let’s begin with a mea culpa. In my note of 18 May 2023, I wrote that the risk/reward for equities...
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Weekly State of The Market: A Pause Falls Over The Crowd
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Avoid at all costs: If you’re bullish on the markets you are probably only digesting bullish data points. If...
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Fitbit’ Q1 2017 Results Highlight Inventory And Average Selling Price Reductions
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Fitbit (FIT) reported rather dismal Q1 2017 metrics last week, but even so shares of FIT rose sharply. Why...
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Economy’s Resilience Is Believed By Few, Winds Of Change Are Blowing
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Just 10 days ago, the Federal Reserve signaled a likely pause in the rate hiking campaign to fight inflation....
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