With just 2 months remaining in the 2021 trading year, investors are gearing up for the typical seasonal tailwinds, but also recognizing that markets are trading at all-time highs heading into a “tapering… storm?” That’s a question I’ll leave open-ended for investors and traders alike, as each will be approaching the end of the year with preconceived notions, biases and…
Weekly State of the Market: 2-Months Left in 2021 for Traders
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Morgan Stanley’s Weekly Warm-up: What’s Next in the Rolling Correction?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
2021 has produced another year of above average returns for the major US indices. However, under the surface it...
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Alpha Insights-Reuters S&P 500 Q3/17 Earnings Update
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Last Update: December 22, 2017 Aggregate Estimates and Revisions Third quarter earnings are expected to increase 8.5% from Q3...
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J.P. Morgan’s Matejka: Value And Inflation
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Last Monday, in our January Chartbook, we suggested that the Georgia runoff could be a wildcard for the potential...
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A Lurking Recession Needs Vulnerabilities
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Are private sector balance sheets, income & profits, liquidity, and pessimism simply too strong to have a recession? By...
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Retail Estimates on the Rise
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In the U.S. retail landscape, the strength seen this past holiday season continued into the first quarter of 2018....
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The Leuthold Group: Yield Curve Timing
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Market veterans know there’s just one thing more probable than a recession after the yield curve inverts: Yield curve...
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Complacency & Recency Bias
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Authored by Thompson Capital Management Recently Forgotten Recency bias. Source: NY Times In psychology, “recency bias” is the term...
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The Leuthold Group: Putting The “Sahm Rule” To The Test
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In January, the “inventor” of the yield-curve indicator—Campbell Harvey of Duke University—suggested that the inversion of the 10Y/3M spread...
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