Alpha over Beta. The wild price swings of the past month are a function of two things in our view: 1)excess leverage in the financial system and 2) the market contemplating the transition of the economy from early to mid cycle as the reopening draws near. The good news is that VAR shocks that happen when growth is accelerating (i.e….
Morgan Stanley: Riding The Cyclical Market Wave
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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So They Say Shorting Volatility Is Like Playing With Dynamite…
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
I leave the country for one week, one week and return to discover that volatility has remained relatively low....
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Geopolitical Concerns Weigh Heavily Ahead of Holiday Shortened Trading Week
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In the latest week, the Dow fell 0.6%, the S&P lost 0.7% and the Nasdaq fell 2 percent. For...
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Merrill Lynch: Volatile Times Ahead
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Macro Strategy—Volatile Times Ahead: Untethered money-supply fluctuations have created a new, more volatile environment for asset allocation. Until the...
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Some Light At The End Of The Tunnel For Target And J.C. Penney
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Retail sales have been a disappointment now for three consecutive months and as such this may lead to downward...
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Merrill Lynch: Capital Market Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Macro Strategy—QT Kicks into Second Gear: Financial conditions are likely to remain under pressure as the Federal Reserve’s (Fed)...
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Does the Trade Truce Produce a Change in Analysts’ Earnings Estimates?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
After a really poor performance in October, the S&P 500 (SPX) rebounded in November. It may not have seemed...
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Heading Into Q4: J.P. Morgan Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Good Sunday morning to all! As mentioned throughout the week, due to the birth of my nephew, we will...
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Weekly State of the Market: Houston, We Have Tailwinds
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“The speculator fights his own good sense, struggles against his own will … and is at odds with his...
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