With defensive stocks now expensive and offering little absolute upside, the S&P500 appears ready to join the ongoing bear market. Defensives can still outperform but it’s just a relative trade at this point. Inflation is peaking but that’s not bullish, because it means margins & EPS have peaked too. Harder to hide… Over the past year,equity markets have provided plenty…
Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: Harder to Hide as the Bear Gets Grisly
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Weekly State of the Market: Macro-Market Winds
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Yield curve is the most inverted in decades, yet many parts of the market are making new 52-week highs....
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Weekly State of the Market: Is Higher For Longer The Problem Or Solution?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“The most important financial lessons aren’t learned slowly during bull markets. They are seared into your brain in bear...
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The J.P. Morgan View: CPI Risks Rising
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-Asset Strategy: The growth-policy tradeoff appears set to improve in 2H, and earnings revisions turned broadly positive in key...
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Weekly State of The Market: Inflation, Corrections, Causation
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and...
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Setting Up The Compounding Effect
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Midterm election years are difficult trading years, but reliably strong investing years, as they setup the compounding effect. More...
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Still Growing, In Spite of Geopolitical Headwinds
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Well, that was much to do about nothing given the anticipation that came ahead of the trading week. When...
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Merrill Lynch Capital Market Outlook: December 2019
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
IN THIS ISSUE Macro Strategy—A fundamental change in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) approach to achieving its inflation target means...
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Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: We Didn’t Start the “Fire”
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
A new COVID variant started the ruckus for markets, but we view that as secondary to the real culprit—the...
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