Models are useful. They help us understand the world around us and aid us in predicting what will happen next. But it’s important to remember that models don’t necessarily reflect the underlying reality of the thing we’re modeling. TheĀ Ptolemaic modelĀ of the solar system assumed the Earth was the center of everything, but in spite of that spectacular error, it did…
A Better Way To Model The VIX: Vance Harwood
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Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: Prices Starting to Reflect the Building Evidence for Deeper EPS Cuts
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
As the evidence builds around our more bearish earnings outlook, the stock market has traded lower again. While we...
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Weekly State of the Market: Disinflation Intrenched
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Long-term trends and short-term emotions are both powerful. Former can build wealth, latter can sabotage that effort. ~Brian G...
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Morgan Stanley’s 3 Themes Going Forward
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Equity markets are in the midst of a growth scare for reasons we think will ultimately be resolved by...
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The Leuthold Group: Inflation: Following The Script?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
We know that historical analogs and averages can be overdone in market analysis, and our statistical approach (and maybe...
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Markets Are Doing Little More Than Chopping Wood
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The past trading week almost mirrored what we saw 2 weeks ago when the S&P 500 (SPX) fell in...
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Markets Look Beyond the Wall of Worry
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The market fell last week and snapped a 3-week win streak after the major indices danced around record highs....
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J.P. Morgan: Add to risk as a lot of negativity is already priced in
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-Asset Strategy: As geopolitical risks intensified over the past month, our OWs in Commodities and Energy stocks outperformed, while...
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Morgan Stanley: Riding The Cyclical Market Wave
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Alpha over Beta. The wild price swings of the past month are a function of two things in our...
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