Cross-Asset Strategy: The October US CPI release delivered the largest downward inflation surprise since the start of the pandemic, raising the likelihood of a soft landing scenario. However, with a Fed Funds rate close to 5%, a recession will be difficult to avoid unless the Fed more meaningfully pivots. As such, our optimism is tempered by the still elevated recession…
J.P. Morgan View: CPI release is a positive, but recession risks remain high!
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Weekly State of the Market: Savvy Market Signals In September
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The Paradox: The #1 concern for most investors/traders forces the diversification of a portfolio, which ultimately and perpetually underperforms...
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Market Consolidation Is The Theme As Headwinds Have Been Built
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
We want to begin this week’s research report with a quick look back at what some might argue was...
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Markets Will Remain Choppy, But Glide Path Got a Bit Smoother
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 2
That was a pretty bullish end to an otherwise fear littered week that centered on two major points of...
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As H2 2021 Begins, There’s A Lot For The S&P 500 To Digest
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
From the pandemic lows on March 23, 2020, the S&P 500 is now up more than 96% and nearly...
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Morgan Stanley: Challenged Recovery, Fed Disappoints:
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Fed minutes disappoint with lack of inflation-targeting details or willingness to employ yield curve control. Meanwhile, the recovery is...
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Fed Directed Price Action Drives Bearish Sentiment
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In roughly the last 10 trading sessions, the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq (COMPQ) have lost 10% of their...
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VIX Trading and Complex Trading Fundamentals
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 1
Investor Sentiment This year has been a year unlike more recent and years whereby the markets trended steadily higher...
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