There is still considerable debate about whether the bear market has yet set its low. Certainly, if the U.S. economy is headed for a deep recession, stock investors will face additional, significant downside risk. Several smart bears on Wall Street suggest the S&P 500 could decline to about 3,000—or -25% from today’s level—as analysts are forced to cut earnings estimates….
Lows Are “Possibly” In…
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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February Auto Sales will Mark a Turn in the Data as the January Boost Fades
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
by Ian Shephardson of Pantheon MacroEconomics The first indication that January’s warmer-than usual weather would boost economic activity was...
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Morgan Stanley’s Weekly Warm-up: Fire or Ice?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With the S&P 500 up more than 20% YTD, alpha has been harder to generate this year. Having the...
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J.P. Morgan Mid-Year Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
2020 Mid-Year Outlook for Economies and Markets as the World Re-opens Summary and Replay of 2020 Mid-Year Outlook Virtual...
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Morgan Stanley’s Weekly Warm-up: Inflation Data and Fed Is Yesterday’s News; Focus on Earnings Risk
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
This week’s focus is likely to be centered on CPI and the Fed. To us, that is yesterday’s news;...
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Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: Winter Is Here, Keep Playing Defense
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With the Fed’s pivot now well understood and appreciated, investor attention now turns to growth which is slowing faster...
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A “Lengthy” Bottoming Process
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Within last weekend’s Research Report, the following was offered: “We are in unprecedented market waters and as such our...
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Historic September Trends Holding to Form…So Far
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
We’re going to take the lengthy edge of verbiage off of this week’s research report by focusing more narrowly...
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Morgan Stanley Weekly Warm-up: Feedback to our Mid Year Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
While there is some sympathy for our mid-cycle transition, most think it’s too early, or not worth acting on....
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