What is next for markets? Investors should position forrising odds of Trump re-election In March, we were the first to argue that the market will reach all-time highs (ATH) in 2021, and after the Fed’s second intervention in April, we elaborated why ATH is likely to come even earlier (see here). This was not just considered contrarian, but also ridiculed…
Rising Trump Re-election Odds: Investor Impact
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Reopening Meets Resistance
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
After a 1-point move in the S&P 500 (SPX) Monday, things got a bit more interesting through the remainder...
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Weekly State of the Market: Seasonal Tide Is Turning Bullish
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“One-half of life is luck; the other half is discipline — and that’s the important half, for without discipline...
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Morgan Stanley: Mid-Cycle Update
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Mid-Cycle Brings More Risk than Reward We’re entering mid-cycle faster than normal. Rate of change on growth & policy...
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Weekly State of the Market: Disinflation Intrenched
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Long-term trends and short-term emotions are both powerful. Former can build wealth, latter can sabotage that effort. ~Brian G...
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Weekly Warm-up: Winter Is Coming but Arrival Is Unclear
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With the Fire portion of our Fire and Ice thesis playing out, we await the timing and magnitude of...
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A Lurking Recession Needs Vulnerabilities
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Are private sector balance sheets, income & profits, liquidity, and pessimism simply too strong to have a recession? By...
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Analysis and Updates From Wall Street
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Capital Economics We think the 10-year Treasury yield will end the year well below its current level. The sell-off in...
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Equity Markets Look For Balance Amidst Trade War And Reflation Fears
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
This week is likely to prove a considerably important week as equity markets have gyrated back and forth throughout...
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