Macro Strategy—Powell On A Mission: U.S. policymakers responded to the pandemic shutdowns with the most aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus in over 75 years (Exhibit 1). As a result, monetary policy since the pandemic is most like that of the years right after World War II (WWII). Strong M2 money-supply growth in the mid-1940s was three standard deviations* above normal,…
Merrill Lynch: Monetary Tightening Full Speed Ahead
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Fundstrat: Flash In Macro Strategy
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Larger narrative is Fed “disinflation” is a massive course correction. Strong Jan equity returns borrowing from Feb, but dip...
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Apple Lowers Q1 2019 Revenue Guidance: Shaping Risk
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
U.S. equity markets demonstrated another remarkable turnaround on Wednesday as investors returned from the New Year holiday. At its...
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Weekly State of The Market: Recession/No Recession And What To Do
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
If you are not willing to risk the unusual, you will have to settle for the ordinary! Everyone must...
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Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: Punxsutawney Phil Says 6 more Weeks of Winter. Stay Defensive
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
We continue to be more focused on what growth is going to do rather than rates and believe investors...
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The Unemployment Rate and Stock Market
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
As a reminder, this is Finom Group’s off-reporting weekend, however we continue to disseminate relevant and trusted 3rd-party research...
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Bed Bath & Beyond Gross Margin Contraction Seems Never Ending
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
While Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY ) is not in dire straits, the company’s consistent underperformance over the last couple of years...
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Risk Asset Prices Rerated for Growth: Has the Global Economy Found It’s Low Period?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
There are two more trading weeks remaining in the Q1 2019 period. The S&P 500 (SPX) is up some...
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