Buy & Hold Strikes Again

Research Reports

Happy weekend, Finom Group investors and traders!
We invite you to review the following third party research from Merrill Lynch, Leuthold Group, CappThesis, and Ned Davis Research
We will be back on schedule with our full proprietary research report next Sunday. (2 weeks on, 1 week off)

Quick note from Seth Golden, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Finom Group: Unfortunately, my X account was hacked as of this past Friday and we have notified X Support of the matter in order to remedy the situation. Until further notice, please do not engage the account and if time permits kindly contact support with a complaint under "imposter" account. Thank you for your time and indeed, we'll see you back here next week with our proprietary macro-market Research Report. With the markets rebounding strongly over the past 8 days and nearly back to breakeven year-to-date, there's no better time to catch up with our most recent data and analytics, by reviewing last weekend's proprietary report linked here. 

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Take a Deep Breadth…

Research Reports

Welcome to a special Intra-Week 3rd-Party Research Update!

Good Thursday to our investors and traders. While our proprietary reports typically drop on Sundays, the current geopolitical friction warrants an immediate 50,000-foot overview. As markets navigate the exogenous shocks stemming from the conflict in the Middle East, we insist on providing a high-level look at external insights to help frame the ongoing, and to be expected, midterm year volatility.

Today’s update features perspectives from Ed Clissold and Thanh Nguyen at Ned Davis Research, strategic analysis from RBA (Richard Bernstein Advisors), Pantheon Macroeconomics, Luke Kawa & David Crowther at Sherwood News, and a concise look at P/E multiple contraction from Matt Cerminaro at The Compound.

We’ll be back this Sunday, per usual, with our full Macro-Market Research Report and proprietary FINOM GROUP analytics! 📊 😉

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Better off economy than headlines and prices assume

Research Reports

Current geopolitical tensions add support to our high-conviction theme of aerospace and defense. But it is time to reframe and widen the lens when it comes to investing in defense. Modern defense is no longer just missiles, tanks and large defense contractors. Rather, it is an entire industrial ecosystem—ranging from rare earth minerals to semiconductor fabs to satellites and undersea cables to Artificial Intelligence (AI) and digital infrastructure.

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NYSE High-Low Logic Index crossed above 1.65 threshold, whereby past readings of extremely bifurcated mkt found corrections w/in 6 months, if not a bear mkt. 2018: -13% and -20% 2019: -35% 2021: -25% Conditional, not causal. Difference this time is reading of New Highs is being led by small-cap weights and New Lows by larger-cap weights. The HLL reading has never occurred w/this dynamic. We question, therefore, how this gets resolved.

Concentration Risks Revealed In Many Ways In 2026

Research Reports

Welcome to a special Intra-Week 3rd Party Research Update! Good Thursday to our investors and traders. While our proprietary reports typically drop on Sundays, the current market “out of gear” phase warrants an immediate look at 3rd-party insights from Ed Clissold and Thanh Nguyen at Ned Davis Research, as well as the senior team at…...

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Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #26

Weekly Articles

“You only get paid to take risk, not to know there’s always risk about the markets.” “This dollar-cost-averaging exercise is why I often suggest there is no such thing as a bad market, only lost opportunity. It’s the lost opportunity that investors often accrue and compound, with great misfortune.” “I’m not competing for World’s Smallest Drawdown. I’ve never seen such a trophy ceremony; have you?”

January 2026 – Monthly Quant Recap

Weekly Articles

This recap provides a comprehensive synthesis of recent market analysis, focusing on the performance and validity of key quantitative signals monitored over the past several months and outlining the strategic outlook for 2026. The analysis reveals a high success rate for bullish quantitative indicators throughout 2025, which correctly forecasted positive market returns and the absence of a recession despite deteriorating breadth and pessimistic sentiment. The powerful Zweig Breadth Thrust signal from April 2025, in particular, has proven exceptionally reliable, with its forecast for positive 6- and 12-month returns and no recession holding true.

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #25

Weekly Articles

“99% of bearish narratives are really metaphors explaining an inability to manage cash wisely.” “Simple doesn’t mean wrong anymore than complicated means right.” “Systems are mostly foolproof, until humans engage the system. Do it right or don’t do it at all… it demands proper dedication else there’s no possibility of cognitive retention of scale and practicality.”

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #23

Weekly Articles

“Be in the business of following a time tested strategy, managing cash wisely, leaning into your resources, asking questions, getting feedback, that’s savvy investing/thoughtful management. Just because they are on TV does not make someone qualified…they are always worried about the down, the next big drawdown… if you never embrace down you will endlessly chase the market trying to circumvent the next drawdown.”
– SETH GOLDEN, CHIEF EQUITY MARKET STRATEGIST AT FINOMGROUP.COM