Macro-Market Nifty 9 Must Knows For Investors

Weekly Articles

Each week I (Seth Golden) write a macro-market Research Report at finomgroup.com, for thousands of investors, strategists and portfolio managers around the world. The following excerpts are taken from this weekly report, for which is title the Weekly Nifty 9 Must Knows! Check it out below, and for access to the full report, subscribe to our Contributor or Premium membership plans and receive access to our full-scale and best-in-class analytics each week.

I call this test my New Opportunity Razor… Here are the two questions to assess any new opportunity: 1. Do I like the winning version of this thing? Imagine yourself five years in the future. This new thing you’ve taken on is crushing it. You’re up there with the best at it. Do you like what that looks like as it relates to your life, time, and energy? In other words, if you make it to the top, are you going to like the view from the summit? This is a critical first step, because too often in life we climb a mountain for years, get to the top, and realize that we never really wanted the view in the first place. If you don’t like the life of the person in the corner office, you may want to think about that before you sacrifice 20 years grinding away to get it (or figure out how you’re going to do it differently, at least). If the answer is no, stop here and say no to the opportunity. If the answer is yes, proceed to the second question… 2. Am I willing to do the losing version of this thing for a long time? To earn anything meaningful in life, it’s going to take a long, long time. Probably much longer than even your most optimistic initial assumptions. An American computer scientist named Douglas Hofstadter once coined the self-referential adage, Hofstadter’s Law, which states: “It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter's Law.” So, knowing this, do you have energy to do the losing, bad, ugly version of this thing for a long time in order to earn the winning version that you like? You may dive into something because of the appeal of the summit, but you’ll never make it there if you don’t embrace the mud you have to crawl through on the climb. The people who have reached those summits have one common trait: They loved the mud. They obsessed over the details. They had real energy for it. When asked about how he had sustained his high level play for so long, tennis legend Novak Djokovic had a simple response: "I can carry on playing at this level because I like hitting the tennis ball." The summit is the grand slam championships. Standing on center court, holding the trophy high in the air. Everyone likes that version. But the way you earn it is through thousands upon thousands of hours of hitting the ball. In the cold. In the dark. In the rain. When nobody’s watching. When nobody’s cheering. When nobody cares. The losing version is the cost of entry for the winning version. The New Opportunity Razor has been a major life cheat code. The best opportunities for your life will pass this test. You'll love the summit and the mud you have to navigate to get there. When you find those things, go all in. Say no to everything else. - Sahil Bloom (https://x.com/sahilbloom/status/2051997395827798274?s=46)

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top Tweets #27

Weekly Articles

“How do you know when to double-down on a position? Only when you’re willing to triple-down on a position!”
“When the market does the opposite of your expectations, repeatedly, it is detailing through price that your understandings and assertions are wrong.”
“Some industries and sectors have entered the “it’s not what you make, it’s what you keep” portion of the cyclical conversation.”
– SETH GOLDEN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST AT FINOMGROUP.COM
(CONTRIBUTOR/PREMIUM MEMBERS ONLY)

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #26

Weekly Articles

“You only get paid to take risk, not to know there’s always risk about the markets.” “This dollar-cost-averaging exercise is why I often suggest there is no such thing as a bad market, only lost opportunity. It’s the lost opportunity that investors often accrue and compound, with great misfortune.” “I’m not competing for World’s Smallest Drawdown. I’ve never seen such a trophy ceremony; have you?”

January 2026 – Monthly Quant Recap

Weekly Articles

This recap provides a comprehensive synthesis of recent market analysis, focusing on the performance and validity of key quantitative signals monitored over the past several months and outlining the strategic outlook for 2026. The analysis reveals a high success rate for bullish quantitative indicators throughout 2025, which correctly forecasted positive market returns and the absence of a recession despite deteriorating breadth and pessimistic sentiment. The powerful Zweig Breadth Thrust signal from April 2025, in particular, has proven exceptionally reliable, with its forecast for positive 6- and 12-month returns and no recession holding true.

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #25

Weekly Articles

“99% of bearish narratives are really metaphors explaining an inability to manage cash wisely.” “Simple doesn’t mean wrong anymore than complicated means right.” “Systems are mostly foolproof, until humans engage the system. Do it right or don’t do it at all… it demands proper dedication else there’s no possibility of cognitive retention of scale and practicality.”

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #23

Weekly Articles

“Be in the business of following a time tested strategy, managing cash wisely, leaning into your resources, asking questions, getting feedback, that’s savvy investing/thoughtful management. Just because they are on TV does not make someone qualified…they are always worried about the down, the next big drawdown… if you never embrace down you will endlessly chase the market trying to circumvent the next drawdown.”
– SETH GOLDEN, CHIEF EQUITY MARKET STRATEGIST AT FINOMGROUP.COM

While MAGS finished just below its 50-DMA on the week, I’m showing the chart in candlestick setting to evidence the tremendous outside reversal demonstrated by the ETF on Friday. This also proved to stimulate a complete outside reversal pattern on the day for the Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100.

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #20

Weekly Articles

“…the 50-DMA is holding… for now. How much longer remains to be seen but before my ADHD catches up with me, I’ll remind investors/traders that if Tech/Semis/Growth/QQQs can’t find a new wave of buying, we’re likely going to continue this consolidation phase and ultimately break below the 50-DMA. Need that leadership to lead, because of the cap-weighting within cap-weighted indices proves market moving. Good news on that front if we think in MAG-7 terms is offered in the chart of the ETF for the MAG-7 (MAGS)”