Better off economy than headlines and prices assume

Current geopolitical tensions add support to our high-conviction theme of aerospace and defense. But it is time to reframe and widen the lens when it comes to investing in defense. Modern defense is no longer just missiles, tanks and large defense contractors. Rather, it is an entire industrial ecosystem—ranging from rare earth minerals to semiconductor fabs to satellites and undersea cables to Artificial Intelligence (AI) and digital infrastructure.

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NYSE High-Low Logic Index crossed above 1.65 threshold, whereby past readings of extremely bifurcated mkt found corrections w/in 6 months, if not a bear mkt. 2018: -13% and -20% 2019: -35% 2021: -25% Conditional, not causal. Difference this time is reading of New Highs is being led by small-cap weights and New Lows by larger-cap weights. The HLL reading has never occurred w/this dynamic. We question, therefore, how this gets resolved.

Concentration Risks Revealed In Many Ways In 2026

Welcome to a special Intra-Week 3rd Party Research Update! Good Thursday to our investors and traders. While our proprietary reports typically drop on Sundays, the current market “out of gear” phase warrants an immediate look at 3rd-party insights from Ed Clissold and Thanh Nguyen at Ned Davis Research, as well as the senior team at…...

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Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #26

“You only get paid to take risk, not to know there’s always risk about the markets.” “This dollar-cost-averaging exercise is why I often suggest there is no such thing as a bad market, only lost opportunity. It’s the lost opportunity that investors often accrue and compound, with great misfortune.” “I’m not competing for World’s Smallest Drawdown. I’ve never seen such a trophy ceremony; have you?”

January 2026 – Monthly Quant Recap

This recap provides a comprehensive synthesis of recent market analysis, focusing on the performance and validity of key quantitative signals monitored over the past several months and outlining the strategic outlook for 2026. The analysis reveals a high success rate for bullish quantitative indicators throughout 2025, which correctly forecasted positive market returns and the absence of a recession despite deteriorating breadth and pessimistic sentiment. The powerful Zweig Breadth Thrust signal from April 2025, in particular, has proven exceptionally reliable, with its forecast for positive 6- and 12-month returns and no recession holding true.

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #25

“99% of bearish narratives are really metaphors explaining an inability to manage cash wisely.” “Simple doesn’t mean wrong anymore than complicated means right.” “Systems are mostly foolproof, until humans engage the system. Do it right or don’t do it at all… it demands proper dedication else there’s no possibility of cognitive retention of scale and practicality.”

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #23

“Be in the business of following a time tested strategy, managing cash wisely, leaning into your resources, asking questions, getting feedback, that’s savvy investing/thoughtful management. Just because they are on TV does not make someone qualified…they are always worried about the down, the next big drawdown… if you never embrace down you will endlessly chase the market trying to circumvent the next drawdown.”
– SETH GOLDEN, CHIEF EQUITY MARKET STRATEGIST AT FINOMGROUP.COM

While MAGS finished just below its 50-DMA on the week, I’m showing the chart in candlestick setting to evidence the tremendous outside reversal demonstrated by the ETF on Friday. This also proved to stimulate a complete outside reversal pattern on the day for the Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100.

Market Mania – FinX Weekly Top 10 #20

“…the 50-DMA is holding… for now. How much longer remains to be seen but before my ADHD catches up with me, I’ll remind investors/traders that if Tech/Semis/Growth/QQQs can’t find a new wave of buying, we’re likely going to continue this consolidation phase and ultimately break below the 50-DMA. Need that leadership to lead, because of the cap-weighting within cap-weighted indices proves market moving. Good news on that front if we think in MAG-7 terms is offered in the chart of the ETF for the MAG-7 (MAGS)”