CAPPTHESIS Key Points The S&P 500 ended last week with a four-day losing streak. It is now also down three straight weeks… 5/6 and 7/9 weeks, too. This, of course, has pushed the S&P down below the breakdown zone we’ve been tracking. We’ll examine that chart, look at the updated short-term work and how this has affected…...
It’s officially a market pullback, and the first one since last November’s -5% pullback. As we have been repeating for several weeks and with an outlook for a double-digit pullback in 1H 2026, cash and time will likely prove the best friend a savvy investor engages during such pullbacks and/or corrections. It’s time to engage…...
The U.S./Iran/Iraq war is the exogenous event that typically litters Midterm-election years. Something seems to always plague this part of the 4-Year Presidential cycle, but what we have long since understood should be part of the Midterm-election year “correction” playbook. Such as an exogenous event as this war does not necessarily impact the domestic economy,…...
Houston, We Have An…Opportunity! In the waking hours of February 28th, the world is waking to an outbreak of military conflict between the United States/Israel and Iran 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷. We pray for humanity and a quick resolution to such conflict. As investors/traders and market participants, we understand that such conflict is the breeding ground…...
The fast train 🚞 to nowhere continued this past trading week, although rebounding across all major averages. To reiterate the Finom Group sentiment and outlook offered within our 2026 Outlook report and more recently in 2026, we remind investors and traders of our cemented “through Q1 2026” price target… “…the newly cemented S&P 500 price…...
Good weekend Finom Group investors/traders! During our off-reporting weekend, please take some time to consider our 3rd-Party Research Report, with ample insights from the legendary team at Ned Davis Research, as well as certain technical renderings from our chief equity strategist Seth Golden. With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down year-to-date, we maintain our currently…...
That’s twice now that the S&P 500 (SPX) would threaten undercutting the December 2025 low and close negative YTD, and below 6,800. Not optimal for the bulls, but still a rather sizable dip-buying opportunity. We’ve seen a great amount of nervous energy over the last couple of weeks, from the investing community and mainly the…...
The biggest winners of January 2026 proved to be the metals. And of course as it was when the Crypto-complex of assets was surging to all-time highs last year, everyone owned them, right? Wrong! As we recap the month of January we should do so with the understanding that a well-diversified portfolio underperforms a concentrated…...
Last week, we began the process of overviewing the big-picture macro drivers of the stock market as we explored the state of the economy and expectations for earnings. The bottom line take was the economy appears to be doing just fine, thank you, and the consensus for earnings growth this year looks…...
It’s unfortunate when never before happened, happens, but that is the thing they call LIFE. While it proved a small sample size in the first place, the following quant failed to deliver on the higher probability this past week, even if not by much. Price action was rather muted this past trading week with the…...
