Ahead of today’s FOMC rate announcement, press conference with Fed chairman Jerome Powell, and the markets’ closure Thursday to celebrate Juneteenth, please take some time to consider our 3rd-Party Research as part of your weekly due diligence process. Additionally and as a reminder, this weekend is Finom Group’s off-reporting weekend (no proprietary macro-market Research Report),…...
The year 2025 is shaping up to be an event-packed year, with the installation of a new U.S. president endogenously disrupting the global trade structure, and as of this past week, an exogenous Israel/Iran war. While there may be a great many market participants revisiting the onset of the Russia/Ukraine war of 2022 as a…...
Whether or not you believed the S&P 500 (SPX) could or would get back to 6,000 this quickly and after plunging below 5,000 in April doesn’t matter. What matters is that you surrounded yourself with optimism and good behavior. The market doesn’t care what you think, it cares about inflation and earnings, both of which…...
Good weekend to all! During our off-reporting weekend, please take some time to read through the latest report from Morgan Stanley regarding drawdowns and recoveries; not all drawdowns or company stocks are created equally. In addition, we offer some other considerations we hope add to your macro-market information flow until we see you back here…...
A couple of weeks ago, we took exception with those market participants whom downplayed the 6-week long rally from the market lows in early April. As the month of April found markets basically round-tripping almost all of the losses from earlier in the month, and doing so with a significant breadth thrust and technical stochastics…...
For many investors/traders, 2025 will be found for a great deal of regret and “should haves.” Through the Finom Group weekly macro-market Research Reports, I have been pounding the proverbial table regarding actively buying the initial market correction, and ever since. “Speaking of game plans… the rendering of a game plan below is that of…...
Welcome back to this weekend’s macro-market reporting. During our off-reporting week, please read through our macro-economic update and 3rd-party research and analytics. Happy Mother’s Day to all! Before jumping into these insights, recall heading into this past week, Finom Group was looking for markets to cool off a bit, some degree of market consolidation: “The…...
Lennart Heim is the Compute Team Lead at RAND’s Technology and Security Policy Center and a Professor of Policy Analysis at RAND School of Public Policy. China will likely match U.S. AI model capabilities this year, triggering inevitable concerns about America’s technological edge. However, this snapshot comparison misses the bigger picture. While Chinese models close the gap on benchmarks,…...
Although the stock market has rallied remarkably since the April 8th low, there will remain a very unhealthy amount of market participants from all walks of life that will remain paralyzed by the headlines and fears of a looming and seemingly inevitable recession, as promoted in the headlines. Investors feel the fear of a recession quite…...
The impact on real GDP from Trump’s tariffs will depend crucially on whether (and how quickly) the customs duties raised are recycled back into the economy as new tax cuts. We assume most, if not all, of the revenue is returned to households in the upcoming budget reconciliation. Failure to do so would represent a…...
