Good weekend Finom Group investors/traders, and welcome back! Well, it looks like the economy is humming along and despite all the naysayers and doomsayers. The Finom Group economic outlook for 2025 did not include a recession, even as a growth scare of sorts materialized in Q1 and with a negative Q1 GDP result. The White…...
The last time the S&P 500 delivered a positive September was… last year. But before that you had to go all the way back to 2019, 2018, and 2017; three in a row. From a more robust and protracted point of view we all know by now that since 1928 or even 1957, September is…...
Good Sunday to all Finom Group investors/traders! This past week proved another seasonally defying week of the September calendar month for which we often suggest, “When the market does something it historically has not, there is likely a message Mr. Market is sending to investors/traders.” Our job is to follow a game plan and be…...
The negative consequences of fiscal policy have been seeping into the macroeconomic data for several months and since Liberation Day. While tax legislation (OBBBA) is set to provide a tailwind for economic growth, trade and immigration policies have demonstrated a greater and more immediate impact on the U.S. economy. There has been a rather broad…...
Just two weeks prior, with headlines still concentrated on all-things White House Administration related and ahead of the Jackson Hole Summit, we remained confident in suggesting higher prices remained for the major averages and benchmark S&P 500 (SPX). “Where we will land on August 31st is a bit of a toss-up, but I’m a buyer…...
The long since herald and feared tariff inflation impact has arrived, and will more than likely take center stage in upcoming monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports, with lesser headlined Personal Income and Expenditures (PCE) reports. While no longer plausible or factual to deny that tariffs are not just a…...
You just can’t keep a good bull market down! Welcome back to this weekend’s macro-market Research Report and with the S&P 500 (SPX) ever so narrowly missing the achievement of its 16th all-time high this past Friday by less than .005ppts. It was just 2 weeks ago that a significant Friday fallout, on the heels…...
During our off-reporting weekend, we encourage Finom Group investors/traders to consider some of our chronicled analysis as well as 3rd-Party Research offerings outlined. Markets finally had their -1%+ down day after a protracted and steep uptrend. The major averages have also finally ended their streak above the 20-day moving average. While headlines may prove dauntingly…...
It’s on everyone’s mind and what everyone is seemingly anticipating at this point in the year, given the extended market rally. “When will the pullback come and how big will it be?” We cannot answer such questions with precision, but only with probabilities. Active portfolio management is a real funny profession and life-long journey. There…...
Let’s not be in the business of looking a “gift-horse in the mouth”, so to speak. The market continues to outperform the expectations of the masses, failing to generate any meaningful or sustained pullback since the April 9th market low. Since then, the largest pullback has been a weekly -2.5% pullback a month ago now.…...
