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Category Archives: Weekly Articles

The Short Vol Trade: What the hell am I doing with my life?

Weekly ArticlesBy David MoadelFebruary 1, 2018

When people ask me how I make money, it’s difficult even to know where to begin. As a seller of UVXY calls, I’m trading a derivative (call options) of a derivative (M1 and M2 VIX futures contracts) of a derivative (S&P index options). The underlying asset, volatility, isn’t tangible like gold or oil, and I’m…

UVXY and VXX: Short shares or sell calls?

Weekly ArticlesBy David MoadelJanuary 31, 2018

Unlike TVIX, UVXY and VXX are optionable and thus raise the question for the short vol club: Is it better to short shares directly or to take a less direct short position by selling calls? Personal preference will dictate the answer, but for my trading, I’ve been able to surmount the disadvantages of selling calls…

Expect A More Hawkish Tone Out of the Fed

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJanuary 31, 2018

After shedding roughly 540 points in the last 2 trading sessions, the Dow Industrial Average looks to resume its trend upward. The Dow remains up by 5.5% in 2018 even after this week’s selloff, helped by factors such as an expanding U.S. economy, growth in corporate profits, and enthusiasm over recently enacted tax cuts and…

VIX Rising And Fear Is Surmounting For Major Averages

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJanuary 30, 2018

For a second day in a row, U.S. equity futures are pointing to a lower open ahead of yet another busy trading day. While the media headlines certainly centered on the 10-year Treasury yield rising above 2.70% yesterday, the tone and discussion may shift today and in the direction of the State of the Union…

Economic Data, Fed Announcement, Apple Results & State of the Union

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJanuary 29, 2018

U.S. equity futures are set to open lower ahead of a jam-packed week of data, earnings, Fed announcement on rates and the State of the Union Address.  Investors will be listening for any more rhetoric on trade, tensions in Washington and any hints toward a resolution on DACA. The USD is stabilizing Monday, however, the…

Is the VIX/SPX Marriage Heading For The Splits

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJanuary 28, 2018

VIX, you got some splaining to do! (In my best Ricky Ricardo voice). I’m hearing and seeing a lot of “what the heck is going on with the VIX and VIX-leveraged ETPs” comments in social media lately. What I’m not seeing is a lot of recognition for prudent institutional investing that has found this investor…

Are you *sure* you’re ready to join the short vol club?

Weekly ArticlesBy David MoadelJanuary 27, 2018

After hearing about the tremendous returns Seth Golden has earned year after year, I felt that my own annual returns, which were already good, could be much better if I joined in the short volatility product trade. This meant taking short positions (or selling calls, buying puts, etc.) on UVXY/VXX/TVIX/VIXY/etc. and/or taking long positions on…

President Trump & GDP Take Center Stage At Davos

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJanuary 26, 2018

The U.S. Dollar has made headlines all week and came under pressure earlier in the week after Steve Mnuchin indicated a weak dollar was ideal for the U.S. economy.  Shortly thereafter, President Trump noted that those comments were taken out of context and that he appreciated a strengthening USD.  The USD briefly rebounded on President…

David Moadel Interviews CBOE’s Russell Rhoads

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJanuary 24, 2018

Cryptos Fall Into Record Setting Markets

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJanuary 24, 2018

Here’s a chart you soon won’t forget. The decline of the USD has been yet another reason supporting equity prices of late. The dollar is suffering another selloff on Wednesday with a key dollar index falling to a three-year low after U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said a weaker greenback is good for trade. The…

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