In our most recent research report (subscription required), we disseminated the weekly expected move for the S&P 500 starting the week of 11/12/18. As shown in the screenshot below, the weekly expected move is $50… and we got every bit of that weekly move in the very first trading day of the week. The major…
Let’s get right to the heart of the matter and as we look forward to the coming week, which should be an eventful one as it includes midterm elections. First up to bat we’re going to take a look, rather quickly, at the latest auto sales. “But you guys haven’t said much in reporting weeks…...
Back when I was in high school, oh soooo many years ago, a top-10 rap song by Ice Cube was popular. The title of the song was “Today was a good day”. What made the song so popular was the melody and the opening verse: Just waking up in the morning gotta thank God, I…
Investors will likely wake up this morning with a common theme or sentiment, “Soooo thankful October is over”! It was a brutal October for investors, having witnessed the major indices retrench into correction territory through the month and with a near 75% increase in volatility. As the calendar turns, investors are now confronted with a…
Coming into the trading week, Finom Group outlined for subscribers its belief that a market bottom hadn’t been found as of yet and volatility would likely head higher before its inevitable decline. Monday investors found a deeply troubled equity market environment whereby the Dow was up more than 300 points at one point before turning…
Despite what has now been a near 10% S&P 500 (SPX) correction from it’s all-time high set in September, the fear gauge isn’t representing market inefficiency or investor panic. Maybe the word “yet” should be placed at the end of the previous sentence given the expected weekly move for the week ahead, maybe? We’ll get…...
Monday’s Census Bureau release of monthly retail sales was said to be softer than forecasted and certainly it was, but why is the question we must ask ourselves. Why because the economy is growing at a 3.5-4% rate with consumer spending and sentiment readings coming in equally as strong through much of the year. So…
Midweek, the markets took a turn for the worse in what is rapidly correlating to the spookiest month of the year, October. Despite the strong gains on Friday, the Dow (DJIA) and S&P 500 (SPX) finished the week down by more than 4%, while the Nasdaq (NDX) posted a 3.7% weekly loss. The steep losses…...
It’s now official; the global equity route is at-hand! In the U.S., the Dow (DJIA) tumbled 831 points, the Nasdaq (NDX) fell 316 points and the S&P 500 (SPX) fell 95 points on Thursday. The route on Wall Street only resulted in even greater losses in Asian markets overnight, with the biggest percentage loser coming…
It didn’t seem to affect the markets all that much yesterday, but it is certainly getting all the attention in the last 12 hours or so. Tuesday morning on CNBC, Jim Cramer discussed conversations that he was having with corporate CEO’s about the probability of slowing earnings growth. “There are many parts of the economy…
