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Profile picture of David Moadel

@david-moadel

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  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic XIV Termination Event in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    Short vol and short SPX is an interesting way to hedge. Not a bad idea at all, if you’re willing to monitor it and rebalance as needed.

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic XIV Termination Event in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    What a wild day… I’m just chilling with cash, waiting for a modicum of stability in the markets.

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic Flush in the forum Daily Market Action: DOW, NASD, SPX 5 years, 1 month ago

    We’ve seen some wild daily price swings lately. Indeed, this is not the stability I’m looking for. I’m all in cash, waiting for calmer seas…

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic XIV Termination Event in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    The VIX is up today while UVXY and VXX are down. Just goes to show how going long UVXY/VXX can be a wrong bet even when markets go down.

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic XIV Termination Event in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    I agree with GermanTrader’s thoughts. SVXY holders will probably want to reassess their long-term objectives and decide if they wish to stay the course.

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic XIV Termination Event in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    Great post and great summary, Scott.

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic Today's premarket in UVXY & VXX in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    The disconnect between VXX and UVXY today was quite odd. I know they’re different products from different companies and all, but still…

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic Buying SVXY calls today in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    I agree with Seth. Waiting a few days would be worth it, in my opionion

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic Can UVXY go to zero ?! in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    ES futures are bright green, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that UVXY would literally go to zero this week. UVXY does gradually trend toward zero, but they periodically revive it through reverse splits.

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic Volatility & Liquidity Confidence in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    It’s interesting, how we were just discussing “event acceleration” not long ago, and here we are, actually facing it. I never imagined that it would happen so early into 2018. History in the making…

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic Short VXX and UVXY with protection against Black Swan in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    Whichever strategy had the least amount of capital at risk is likely the one that proved to be the least pain-inducing today.

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic I'm Out in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    Well played, Scott. I wish that everybody else could have profited from this event, but unfortunately there are some folks in “difficult” situations right about now…

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic Did we just see a Flash Crash intra-day? in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    I don’t blame you for staying out of the vol product game for now… That’s how I’m handling this situation

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic Volatility ETF/ETNs Liquidations Possible Today AH in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    More information should be available if/when the dust settles tomorrow… The folks at ProShares and VelocityShares must be inundated with “concerned” investors right about now…. Hopefully we should get some clarity in the morning.

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic I'm Out in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    Scott, that’s probably the best possible response. People mostly just want reassurance that things will be okay. I’ve received a number of e-mails like that this week, especially from pot stock and cryptocurrency investors…

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic No more naked selling of UVXY calls for me… in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    The long 50/30 delta put spread strategy looks interesting. The 615% 5-year return is quite impressive, though also keep in mind that the average percent return per losing trade was -72.4%, which many traders won’t be able to stomach. Also keep in mind that we’ve been in a massive bull market for the past 8 years, which could skew any…[Read more]

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic No more naked selling of UVXY calls for me… in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    Thank you Steve, I hope that this has provided some ideas for everyone involved.

    As Seth has been saying, having plenty of available cash (or at least assets that can quickly and easily be converted into cash with minimal loss) is essential, along with giving the trade plenty of time to work itself out in your favor.

    Kevin, it is true that the…[Read more]

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic No more naked selling of UVXY calls for me… in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    These are all excellent points! I’ve had to discipline myself to give my trades more duration so that the trade has a chance to work itself out if it goes against me at first. I have to think in terms of weeks and months, not days! I haven’t considered going out a full year when buying puts on VXX or UVXY. Perhaps I should look into it, though…[Read more]

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel replied to the topic No more naked selling of UVXY calls for me… in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    That’s an interesting approach, trying different expiration dates. I’ll be curious to see how that plays out

  • Profile picture of David Moadel

    David Moadel started the topic No more naked selling of UVXY calls for me… in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 1 month ago

    I’ve decided not to do naked (uncovered) selling of UVXY calls anymore. Luckily for me, I’ve been all in cash since Thursday. Friday showed me just how fast UVXY can move. Even if I do it “safely” — layer into the position, sell UVXY calls 45 or 60 days out, far out of the money, and with just 20% of my available margin and the remainder of my…[Read more]

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