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Profile picture of sam

@opsinin

@seth-golden tomorrow , could u explain the mechanics of the active trading in UVYX ; I listened to both YOUtube vids on VIX and they were clear and very helpful. I am just not sure of the mechanics of how u short and cover and how u take drawdowns ie MAR 2020; and what do u call it ?Volmageddon? ; how much percent of port allocated and […] View
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  • Profile picture of sam

    sam posted an update 1 year, 9 months ago

    @seth-golden tomorrow , could u explain the mechanics of the active trading in UVYX ; I listened to both YOUtube vids on VIX and they were clear and very helpful. I am just not sure of the mechanics of how u short and cover and how u take drawdowns ie MAR 2020; and what do u call it ?Volmageddon? ; how much percent of port allocated and how u…[Read more]

  • Profile picture of sam

    sam posted a new activity comment 2 years, 7 months ago

    Seth, could u give a little more explanation of how the QDS system is derived; is this what u r referring to ?? ( for us new to the site) http://quinndevelopmentalservices.com/about-qds/ thanks
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    • Profile picture of sam

      sam's profile was updated 3 years, 7 months ago

    • Profile picture of sam

      sam posted a new activity comment 5 years ago

      Hi Seth, I watched your interview with David Lincoln. I wondered if you could go into a little more detail on how you evaluate the S&P options. Since I am new to volatility, I understand you were discussing out of the money options at future months. This is to get some idea of perhaps how volatility may be perceived. I wondered if you could go…[Read more]

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      • Profile picture of Seth Golden
        Seth Golden replied 5 years ago

        I’m looking at mid month and first set of option strikes for the first week of the following month. Then I’m looking for volume, the only true indicator is volume. But keep in mind just because there is volume and just because strikes are OTM showing expected declines, doesn’t mean they will be right or just a hedge. Volume first and foremost.

    • Profile picture of sam

      sam replied to the topic VIX futures and backwardation in the forum UVXY, TVIX, VXX, XIV, SVXY, VIXY, VMAX, VMIN 5 years, 2 months ago

      Hello Seth, when you are discussing role yield for February when you say the spread is 1.25 are you talking about dollars and is the spread between the spot price of the Vix and February which is M1? Also you’ve said you like to see the spread of 1.5, can you tell me why 1.5 is your number?

      When you say that M2 is at two and we are 50% M2 are you…[Read more]

    • Profile picture of sam

      sam replied to the topic Discussing S&P500 Earnings on Markets & VOL in the forum It's All About The Economy 5 years, 2 months ago

      Great , knowledgeable,
      well reasoned answer, a view of the post crisis and its byproduct that I never thought of!!
      thanks

    • Profile picture of sam

      sam replied to the topic Discussing S&P500 Earnings on Markets & VOL in the forum It's All About The Economy 5 years, 2 months ago

      I know that everyone is really happy that the consumer is spending, but I forgot to mention that for the first time in years the savings rate is dropped to a level seen in 2008

      https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-spending/u-s-consumer-spending-grows-at-fastest-pace-since-2009-savings-drop-idUSKBN1CZ1GN

    • Profile picture of sam

      sam replied to the topic Discussing S&P500 Earnings on Markets & VOL in the forum It's All About The Economy 5 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks for perspective; i see u live in japan!!

    • Profile picture of sam

      sam replied to the topic Discussing S&P500 Earnings on Markets & VOL in the forum It's All About The Economy 5 years, 2 months ago

      Hi Seth, I think you are right. I made a mistake about the timing of earnings announcements. The third quarter 2007 would’ve been reported as you say in the fourth quarter in November. The market really did not hit the 1200 range until January. There was a low around November 12 which would be during the reporting period of Q3 which happens in…[Read more]

    • Profile picture of sam

      sam replied to the topic Discussing S&P500 Earnings on Markets & VOL in the forum It's All About The Economy 5 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks for your answer.

      I was watching the YouTube video at the beginning of this thread. You had mentioned that Q3 earnings in 2007 had declined by approximately 7% from the previous year. I guess these earnings are reported to the public in January 2008. If you take a look at the market low in January 23, 2008 and you see a number very close…[Read more]

    • Profile picture of sam

      sam replied to the topic Discussing S&P500 Earnings on Markets & VOL in the forum It's All About The Economy 5 years, 2 months ago

      I’m a little confused about volatility and the market . It seems clear that the Fed has gotten the message that low rates havwe been going on for too long. QE has been stopped. In Europe , starting now, bond buying has been halfed and will stop in September. I think that the news put out is the Fed is worried about a flat economy , but if you…[Read more]

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