show less
show more
@seth-golden
Morgan Stanley: “The problem is that last month’s consumer confidence reports suggested consumers took the first [Fed] cut in a decade as a potential signal of an oncoming recession which may lead to more frugal behavior. …. a 50bps cut may throw them into a buyer’s strike.” View
S&P 500 Still Stuck In a Box
20 August 2019
Monday picked up right where last Friday left off with bond yields and equities both moving higher. The S&P 500 (SPX) rose 1.2% on the day or nearly 35 points. The [...]
Tariffs, Inversions, Debt, Brexit… Oh My!
19 August 2019
Ya’ll ready for another rip roaring week in the markets? After some wild daily swings in the previous trading week, the S&P 500 (SPX) ultimately decline just over 1% [...]
Recession Risks Rise & Technicians Suggest More Pain
16 August 2019
The story of the week: U.S. 2-year by 10-year Treasury yield inversion signals a recession on the horizon. Of course, on the horizon is a subjective forecast bringing about [...]
State of the Markets: 8/15/2019
15 August 2019
Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video . Our emphasis in this week’ [...]
The Yield Curve Means Nothing Or…?
15 August 2019
“It’s all fun and games until someone gets hurt.” We all remember hearing that as kids, but that mainly concerned horseplay and wrestling with our peers and/siblings. Today [...]
Yield Curve Inversion (2s/10s) Spooks Investors
14 August 2019
Equity markets fall, equity markets rise… and round and round we go with trade headlines proving to stimulate and deflate markets with each passing week. On Tuesday, and following a [...]
Yields Plunge Further, Fear Rises: What To Do?
13 August 2019
Although the S&P 500 (SPX) has fallen sharply, by more than 1%, on two consecutive Mondays, there is a silver lining to glean from all the selling pressure. U.S. [...]
Bond Yields Send Equities on A Wild Ride… What Next?
8 August 2019
At its worst levels of the day on Wednesday, the Dow (DJIA) was down some 550+ points, the Nasdaq (NDX) was down some 120+ points and the S&P 500 (SPX) had [...]
Holy Yield Curve Batman!
7 August 2019
On the surface, Tuesday’s bounce-back, market rally looks promising and proposed a respite from the extreme selling pressure on Monday. Underneath and adjacent the equity market rally, however, caution [...]
