Please click the following link to be directed to our latest YouTube video where we discuss our concluding thoughts on the 2020 bull market. In order for drawdowns to not become realized losses, sometimes we also have to elongate our time frame. The longer our time frame, the more likely we enable realized profits and…...
By St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank and David Andolfatto In the second quarter of 2008, U.S. federal debt held by the public totaled about $5.3 trillion, or 35% of gross domestic product (GDP). This figure grew to $20.5 trillion—or 105% of GDP—by the second quarter of 2020. To put it another way, the national debt…
Don’t be late. Life often throws us curve balls and when it does,all we can do is adjust our swing. In this regard,2020 may go down as the year of the curve ball. The world didn’t knock everything out of the park, but it did show great resilience and human spirit. Sometimes preparation is the…...
OVERVIEW Following on our series that was produced this year called “The Book of Great,” which discussed 10 separate dynamics that developed in 2020, we believe 2021 represents a year of multiple transitions—“The Gateway to the New Frontier.” First and foremost, we believe this transition develops away from peak uncertainty to a more certain, albeit…...
In this week’s video special report we discuss the environment surrounding the February-March 2020 bear market; the fastest bear market in history (17 days). Please click the following video link which discusses all the materials below. While many, if not most, are speculating in perpetuity over market tops, they miss the opportunity to formulate a…...
Once vaccinations start, how quickly can they lower daily new COVID-19 cases: Although the market understands that vaccination will lower daily new cases, the trajectory of the decline remains one of the top incoming questions we receive. We leveraged our previous epidemiological model and,after updating it for the recent uptick in daily cases (mean (sd)…
12 month price momentum is a powerful driver of flows and performance. Over time, price momentum strategies aren’t mean reverting, one reason they are so popular. Over the past decade more strategies have adopted momentum as a key input to their processes so momentum begets momentum. Components of price momentum leaders/laggards change periodically. As recessions…...
Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is extremely detailed and has proven to help guide investors and traders during all types of market conditions with thoughtful insights and analysis, graphs,…
As we wrap-up our third year of operations at Finom Group, we extend our gratitude to each and every member/participant. 2020 has been one of the more difficult years for our country, let alone investors who chose to battle the peak-trough-peak in the markets. Finom Group sincerely hopes that our weekly Research Reports, State of…...
Equities are facing one of the best backdrops for sustained gains next year. After a prolonged period of elevated risks (global trade war, COVID-19 pandemic, US election uncertainty, etc.), the outlook is clearing with the business cycle expanding and risks diminishing. We expect a “market nirvana” scenario for equities with the melt-up continuing into 1H21,…...
