With over 40 years of combined investing experience, Finom Group founders have never seen the existing macro-market conditions. The post-pandemic period has given way to a rapidly evolving outlook for both the economy and markets, with analysts, strategists, and investors forced to maintain a hightened degree of alert, flexibility, and open-mindedness unlike levels from cycles…
There is still considerable debate about whether the bear market has yet set its low. Certainly, if the U.S. economy is headed for a deep recession, stock investors will face additional, significant downside risk. Several smart bears on Wall Street suggest the S&P 500 could decline to about 3,000—or -25% from today’s level—as analysts are…...
Cross-Asset Strategy: The October US CPI release delivered the largest downward inflation surprise since the start of the pandemic, raising the likelihood of a soft landing scenario. However, with a Fed Funds rate close to 5%, a recession will be difficult to avoid unless the Fed more meaningfully pivots. As such, our optimism is tempered…...
By Jim Paulsen of The Leuthold Group Inflation has been slowing for the last several months and finally appeared in the “headline” numbers last week. Although a single comforting CPI report will not eclipse ongoing concerns about inflation, leading up to that report, there was a broad array of evidence that inflation was moderating and…...
If you are not willing to risk the unusual, you will have to settle for the ordinary! Everyone must choose from one of two pains. The pain of discipline or the pain of regret! ~Jim Rohn If you would like to watch the State of the Market video, please click the provided link . Have…...
Ahead of the holiday and turn of year period, Morgan Stanley publishes their outlook for 2023. The outlook is no different with regards to future revisions that are always a possibility as the firm monitors the macro, geopolitical, technical and seasonal points of interest from month to month. For 2023, our base case does not…...
Research Report Excerpt #1 House Keeping Notes In December, our chief market strategist Seth Golden will be taking his usual vacation and out for the month. His dedication will provide Finom Group members with consistent weekly SOTM videos, trade alerts/investment ideas, and participation in the Telegram app, per usual. Our final weekly Research Report for…
Within this past week’s State of the Market video, our focus suggested that the market has stepped through the open window and into a relatively protracted period of opportunity for investors. It is during the November – April period of the following year that, within a Midterm Election cycle and 4-Year Presidential Cycle, the greatest…
Investing isn’t about beating others at their game. It’s about controlling yourself at your own game! ~Ben Graham If you would like to watch our weekly State of the Market, please click the provided link (to be provided shortly). Have a great trading week and be on the lookout for this weekend’s macro-market Research Report!…...
Research Report Excerpt #1 THE FED IS DRIVING THE MARKET, and it demands the market to stay put until further notice. With the aforementioned sentiment, which is hard to argue against, as it was further demonstrated most recently during the Fed chairman’s press conference this past week, it is ideal for investors to accept this…
