Keeping it 100% in 2025

2024 is in its home stretch, with investor and market participants from all walks of life along for the ride. With that, welcome back Finom Group investors/traders! We certainly hope your 2024 has proven prosperous and educational, with Finom Group providing ample amounts of educational value at the very least. As we head into the…...

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Macro-Market 2024 Home Stretch

Good weekend all! Please take some time to review the thoughts and ideas concerning the macro-market landscape since the 2024 Election and around Wall Street. Additionally, we have update some of our key quantitative studies which remain in focus through year-end 2024. As the macro-market ushers in a new White House Administration, markets may attempt…...

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Wall Street Looks Toward Trump 2.0 And Economic Data Ahead

Capital Economics We have revised some of our key market forecasts in response to Donald Trump’s victory and the news that the Republicans are on course to regain full control of Congress. These include higher projections for the 10-year Treasury yield and the greenback. We have retained our predictions for the S&P 500, but have become…...

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Bulls Have Won 2024, And The Streak…

Good weekend all! During our off-reporting weekend, please consider our 3rd-party Research compilation from around Wall Street. Our final macro-market Research Report of 2024 will be delivered on November 24, 2024, and include an outlook for 2025. With the S&P 500 achieving 6,000 intraday this past Friday, investors should consider we have yet to enter…...

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Another Recession Signal, As Warren Buffett Raises More Cash

The Leuthold Group The Major Trend Index was unchanged at a High Neutral reading of +1 for the week ended November 1st. The Sentiment factors moved up a notch to -3, while numerous downgrades within the Technical work were not quite enough to knock that category’s reading down from a solidly bullish tally of +4.…...

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Will Markets Vote For More Gains

Back in the 1980s, Dr. Ed Yardeni popularized the phrasing that concerned an investor population, which was believed to be working to “fight the Federal Reserve.” He coined the phrase bond vigilanteism. As the Fed was cutting rates “on and off” from 1984 – 1988, often times the long end of the Treasury yield-curve would…...

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DataTrek: Labor Market Cooling, But Still Goodd

Markets: Job openings fell in September according to the latest JOLTS report out today, while our “Take this job and shove it indicator” also declined. Even still, as much as the US labor market continues to cool, it remains in decent shape. This is overall bullish for US equities as some weakness allows the Fed…...

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Market Volatility Through Election, But Thereafter…

Welcome back to the Finom Group weekend macro-market Research Report! As a heads-up, I (Seth Golden) will be flying solo this weekend as Edward Cordoba is fine tuning the official Quantitative Analysis Workshop Almanac materials. Any misspellings and grammatical faux pas should be overlooked; fair warning 😉 !   After a 6-week winning streak in the…...

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