Weekly State of the Markets: 6/14/2019

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. In this week’s SOTM we discuss a vast variety of variables affecting the equity markets as they climb attempt to recapture their former highs. Please click the link to review the video, which runs about 1 hour and 20 minutes. Be careful with…...

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Retail Sales & Dissecting Trade War

Ahead of the opening bell on Friday, June 14, 2019, retail sales and industrial production data will be released. Analysts at Wells Fargo expect a 0.7% increase in retail sales headline.  “Retail sales have experienced a volatile monthly performance so far this year. In April, headline sales unexpectedly slipped 0.2% on the month, following an exceptionally…...

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Geopolitical Tensions Exact Toll On Global Economy & Investors

Despite the constant news flow and tweets discussing tariffs on Mexican imports, the S&P 500 (SPX) and peer indices all rallied sharply this past week. The Dow (DJIA) jumped 4.7%, its biggest weekly gain since November. It also snapped a six-week losing streak. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq (NDX) were up 4.4% and 3.9% this…...

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A Triple Top Spells The End of The Bull Market?

There are now at least 4 key ingredients drawing upon investor fears and which have resulted in a May, month-long market downturn.  The S&P 500 (SPX) finished down 2.6% from last week and 1.3% on Friday. And the cause of the month-long sell-off, resulting in a 6.58% drawdown: Hike in tariffs on imports from China…...

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Crazy Time For Markets and Investors

In the past trading week, investors/traders were once again at the mercy of trade headlines. It was only 2 weeks ago that “the tweets seen round the world” sent global equities tumbling.  The tweets from the Real Donald Trump Twitter account stated that existing tariffs would be elevated from 10% to 25% and that is…...

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The Geopolitical May Usurp Market Trends

The fears of profound losses to the equity markets in the event that tariffs have been increased were overblown… or were they? We wouldn’t let the sharp intraday reversal off the lows on Friday, which found the S&P 500 (SPX) finishing up nearly .40%, fool us into believing we’re out of the woods just yet. …...

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Still Growing, In Spite of Geopolitical Headwinds

Well, that was much to do about nothing given the anticipation that came ahead of the trading week.  When it was all said and done, the S&P 500 moved all of 5 points higher for the week and once again finished within its weekly expected move.  What is truly remarkable about the drawdown from Q4…...

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Recession Fears Overhyped: SPX 3,000 Eyed

Good morning fellow investors. This week’s Research Report will hit with greater brevity than you’ve seen with many of our Research Reports since we launched in December 2017.  Also, it will be solely delivered by Seth Golden, Finom Group’s chief market strategists and managing director of the Golden Capital Portfolio. I’m often asked the following…...

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Bill Miller: Some Reflections on the Bull at 10

1Q 2019 Market Letter The bull market that began in early March 2009 passed its 10th birthday last month, something no one expected when the S&P 500 bottomed at 666. The economic expansion that has accompanied it — as usual, the market led the beginning of the expansion by about 6 months — will become…...

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Q1 Earning Season Peaks This Week, Will S&P 500 Follow?

For the S&P 500 (SPX) it proved to be the week that investors went to sleep, as the benchmark index logged a .08% drop in the holiday shortened trading week.  S&P 500 Review While the trading proved relatively unchanged even with a significant data dump on Thursday that included monthly Retail sales, Jobless Claims, Leading…...

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