Late Cycle 2023 Roadmap Video

Markets are showing increasing stress, deteriorating market internals/breadth, and investors will advantage themselves with a game plan. Check out our latest video by clicking the link provided. This is our off-reporting weekend, but we intend to issue 3rd party research this weekend to keep investors in touch with analysis from in-and-around Wall Street.  “When the…...

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Morgan Stanley Weekly Warm-up: Fed and Price Continue to Dominate the Narrative

While there are plenty of events and fundamental data points worth considering, we find many remain fixated on the Fed’s next move and S&P 500 price. These factors appear to be dictating narratives and positioning. On that score, last week brought further risks to the consensus 4Q rally view.  Fed is unlikely to come to…...

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Attempts to Renew The Uptrend Find Another Setback

There was a great deal of concern for the manner in which the equity markets closed the week, 2 weeks ago; down Thursday and Friday trading sessions. As mentioned last week: “When the week starts strong, but ends weak, it often proves a difficult task to project forward, as weekly candlesticks show one thing, but…...

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Weekly State of the Market: An Expanding Correction

A Note: Structurally, the market needs breadth to improve this week, which demands improved performance from Equal-Weights and Small-Caps! Without such improvements, if not leadership, the market remains vulnerable to headline, downside risks.  If you would like to watch this week’s State of the Market video, please click the provided link. Be on the lookout…...

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Ignore The Headlines; Absorb The Opportunity

Despite another positive weekly performance by the S&P 500 (SPX) this past trading week, it didn’t really feel that way based on the declines in the final 2 trading sessions of the week, and especially with the declines in the large-cap/Growth areas of the market and Nasdaq (COMPQ). When it was all said and done,…...

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An Uncertain Summer Ends, But Does A Favorable Fall Begin?

In lieu of our regularly scheduled State of the Market video analysis, this week we offer a general public video to review some of the market conditions and macro developments since August. Oversold conditions and a traditionally weak September market offered certain signals for investors to consider, while the economy continued to “chug along.” (video…...

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Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: When Uncertainty Is High, Price Reigns…Which Side Are You On?

Fiscal constraints limit policy response at a time when cyclical risks persist. Market breadth reflects this dynamic as the S&P 500 defends key technical support. We share takeaways from our roundtable with industry analysts, our latest consumer survey and our Dividend Playbook report.  Fiscal Dominance Remains on Center Stage…We continue to think the current backdrop…...

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Recession questions / New headwinds / 2024 election / Q3 GDP / Inflation backs up / Hawkish pauses

The analysis and Research within comes via the monthly Macro-Memo from RBC Capital Wealth Advisors: We have been predicting a recession for quite some time. The possibility first came into focus in the spring of 2022, and we believed a recession could be imminent as long as a year ago. That raises two questions. How…...

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Not Out Of The Woods Yet

The weekend is where many a discipline and devoted investor/portfolio manager spend most of their free time in the exercise of macro-market research and/or due diligence, as it is more profoundly referenced. With that in mind, I hope Finom Group members receive this week’s “Research Notes” in effort to serve your devotions well. We’ve discussed,…...

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