“The S&P 500 has not bottomed in the months of January – May when it has finished the year in the RED on a total return basis since 1958. The S&P 500 has bottomed in the back half of the year all but 1 time when the index has ended the year in the RED…...
We continue to be more focused on what growth is going to do rather than rates and believe investors are still too optimistic, particularly as it relates to consumption. Exacerbating that risk is the fact that inventories are now rising rapidly. Maintain a Defensive Posture. Signs of weakness go beyond Omicron. 4Q earnings beat rates…...
While certain individual stocks demonstrated massive downside moves this past week, the indices managed a consecutive weekly gain. In 2021, investors are witnessing the turbulence of markets that hasn’t really been a focus topic since the pandemic lows in March of 2020. The absence of such market volatility for a protracted period of time, finally…...
“At the bottom, stocks will be cheap and no one will care.” ~Bob Farrell “When it’s time to buy, you won’t want to!” ~Walter Deemer If you would like to watch the State of the Market video, please click the provided link. Have a great trading week everyone and be on the lookout for this…...
Cross-asset Strategy: The equity market sell-off is overdone in our view, and we reiterate our call to buy the dip, particularly in cyclicals and small caps. Stocks are in bear market territory and erased their post-pandemic re-rating, small cap valuations are at 20Y lows, and investor sentiment is bearish. Many market metrics such as recent…...
“If falling 10% in stocks over a couple weeks is too much volatility for you, then being up 25% in 2021 is also too much. You can’t have one without the other. Consistency isn’t measured in the footsteps we take, but rather in the endurance of our journey.” ~Burt White Many of you may have…...
“An investor’s job is not to avoid the pain but to endure it.” If you would like to watch the weekly State of the Market video, please click the provided link. Have a great trading week and be on the lookout for our weekend Research Report this Sunday! Corrections will test investors’ will and…...
With the Fed’s pivot now well understood and appreciated, investor attention now turns to growth which is slowing faster and more than expected. Defensives have been leading since mid-November, and that’s likely to continue until PMIs and earnings revisions trough. Winter is here…Investor attention should now turn away from the Fed and to the Ice…...
It is not often that Finom Group is tasked with delivering a pessimistic interim outlook, but technicals are delivering signals that traders and investors shouldn’t ignore. Seth will walk us through some of these technicals while offering some suggestions on how to manage through the present market environment in a bit. For now, I’ll be…...
“Buying on red days is where longterm profits begin! 90%+ of investors/traders are dedicated to finding problems in a market that goes higher ~75% of the time! Don’t get caught in the problem-finding game or your psychology won’t let you see anything but problems; you’ll always be playing catchup. Build resources, not roadblocks to capital…...
