The Downtrend Is Over, Or Is It?

Welcome back traders and investors! It is still a tricky, and muddled trading landscape. We have entered the 4th quarter of 2021 and the most volatile month of the calendar year for the markets. Coming off the worst week for the S&P 500 since January, the first full week of trading in October started with…...

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Weekly State of the Market: Cloudy Markets With High Probability of Sunshine Forecast

Maintaining good disciplines during price consolidation periods: 1. Are the “yea buts” greater than a self-induced economic shutdown and bear market? 2. Are the “yea buts” likely to be remedied with time and naturally? 3. Will the “yea buts” meaningfully or temporarily prove a headwind for EPS growth? The market answers these questions for you…...

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J.P. Morgan: Stagflation Unlikely; Buy The Dip

Cross-Asset Strategy: As we indicated in a previous report, a combination of a strong recovery in demand, easy policy, financial flows, and a chronic underinvestment in supply (due to the prior low price regime, environmental policies and geopolitical headwinds) appear to be boosting energy prices. Oil and natural gas prices surged to multi-year highs and…...

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Weekly State of the Market: Yield Boon, Tech/Growth Swoon

“In this business, if you’re good, you’re right six times out of ten. You’re never going to be right nine times out of ten.” -Peter Lynch If you would like to review the weekly State of the Market video analysis, please feel free to click on the provided link!   While S&P/large cap tech stock…...

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J.P. Morgan MacroView Into Q3 2021 Quarter-End

Markets to continue following the path of COVID recovery Cross-asset Strategy: Risk markets recovered from the technical sell-off, as we called for last week. COVID cases continue to decline (falling by ~28% in the US and ~13% globally over the past week), which we believe remains the main driver of risk markets, and this trend…...

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Short-Termisms: Best Remedy for Shutdown and Tapering, Is A Shutdown and Tapering

Scary prescient, scary! I’m referring to what our chief market strategist Seth Golden wrote in last week’s Research Report. While he often has a lot to say and writes with a great amount of detail that can seem a daunting task just to “soak it all in”, it is proven worth the while. Here is…...

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Weekly State of the Market: Diagnosing Drawdown For Opportunity

“We have to acknowledge that overall breadth is weaker than it was during the biggest market drawdown during Q1 and to-date. Thus, the market has less overall support to resist downside should the selling pressure resume early next week and ahead of the FOMC meeting. There’s nothing wrong with recognizing and adjusting to the the…...

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How Does The September Season Resolve For Investors?

The significant breadth strength of the 2020-2021 bull market has provided investors with a tremendous advance since the March 2020 lows. Breadth has proven so strong since the turn of the year that many of the stock market’s seasonal tendencies have been overwhelmed in favor of the bullish continuation pattern. September, however, has thus far…...

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Weekly State of the Market: Some Great TIPS

“I don’t think you can get to be a really good investor over a broad range without doing a massive amount of reading. I don’t think any one book will do it for you.” -Charlie Munger Feel free to review the weekly State of the Market video via the provided link here! Retail investors less…...

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