Weekly State of the Market: Bad Breadth Leads to Indigestion

“If you don’t profit from your investment mistakes, someone else will.” -Yale Hirsch Every trade demands a thesis, be it elementary or collegiate, rudimentary or sophisticated. A plan for a trade should precede the trade itself. From there, the discipline for the trade will need to endure volatility. To watch our weekly State of the…...

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Alibaba (BABA): Rich Country, Strong Army

The following Alibaba fundamental research reporting is delivered via the team at Fundstrat: Summary While political risk has significantly eroded BABA’s share price, the recent actions by the CCP against the company, including the largest ever antitrust fine in China’s history, likely mark the interim extreme and bottom for political risk and outcomes will likely…...

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As H2 2021 Begins, There’s A Lot For The S&P 500 To Digest

From the pandemic lows on March 23, 2020, the S&P 500 is now up more than 96% and nearly doubled in just over 15 months. There are many who wish they could turn back the hands of TIME and BUY the 2020 bear market bottoming process. Finom Group’s chief market strategist Seth Golden was highlighting…...

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Weekly State of the Market: Blasting Toward Higher Highs

In this week’s State of the Market we take a look at what the market may produce for the back half of 2021. The quantitative data expresses a good deal of positive equity market momentum, with July also holding better than average monthly gains historically. A body in motion tends to stay in motion. Click…...

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Energy positive returns 6 consecutive months. Stick with Epicenter in 2H2021.

STRATEGY: Stick with Epicenter in 2H2021. Strong markets stay strong. US COVID-19 deaths are “unvaccinated” Americans COVID-19 cases could be rising, in part due to the spread of the more transmissible variants (Delta, etc.), but the approved vaccines seem to be containing the spread, and more importantly, limiting the severity of the disease (for a…...

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The Bull Market’s Inner Strength Revealed

This past trading week went exactly as investors/traders expected, after a ~2% pullback for the S&P 500 (SPX) the previous week. Sarcasm? Precisely! While many investors/traders and strategists anticipated a greater pullback before a resumption of the uptrend, including myself to a lesser degree, the market defied such expectations and rallied to new all-time highs.…...

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Weekly State of the Market: Disciplined Data-Driven Investing

Investing takes time! When Jeff Bezos asked the 2nd richest man in the world… “Your investment thesis is so simple. You’re the second richest guy in the world, it’s so simple. Why doesn’t everyone just copy you?” Warren Buffett: “Because nobody wants to get rich slow.” To review the State of the Market video analysis,…...

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Weekly Warm-up: Tapering and Peak Demand Is a Bad Combo

The Fed’s “surprise” move toward tapering that took markets lower last week is just the moment of recognition for a tightening trend that began months ago. When combined with the peak rate of change in economic and earnings revisions, it sets up a more difficult summer. Tapering is Tightening but Tightening began months ago. The…...

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Stocks Go On Sales Into Quarter End: Mid-Year Outlook

Welcome back Finom Group traders and investors. Although last weekend was our monthly off-reporting week, the market did not disappoint our expectations for potential drawdowns in the major indices. Quad or Triple Witching weeks are always tricky, but June’s monthly option expiration week is usually one of the worst of the year. When this calendar…...

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Weekly State of the Market: Fed Shifts Message on Inflation, Breadth Weakening

“Speculation is an effort, probably unsuccessful, to turn a little money into a lot. Investment is an effort, which should be successful, to prevent a lot of money from becoming a little.” -Fred Schwed, Jr.   To review this week’s State of the Market video, please click the following link. This week we discuss the…...

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