Are Equities On The Verge of Catapulting Higher?

It looked as though markets were on the precipice of breaking down earlier in the trading week, and as headlines suggested that Chinese officials/delegates were inclined to cut their trip short in Washington. The S&P 500 (SPX) had fallen roughly 2% through Tuesday, before counter headlines suggested there was no indication that Chinese officials were…...

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State of the Markets: 10/11/2019

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode we discuss October markets alongside the geopolitical heavyweight optionality that is whipsawing markets. A trade deal of sorts has been outlined by the Chinese and U.S. negotiating parties Friday. Our dialogue this week aims to rationalize the numerous…...

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The Economy & Trade Feud Face-Off This Week

If you enjoy roller coasters then you probably enjoyed the market action this past trading week. From peak to trough the S&P 500 (SPX) fell nearly 3% intra-week, before rebounding Thursday-Friday. The latest ISM data proved to question bullish market and economic trends, but failed to give sustainable rise to bearish market sentiment, at least…...

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Heading Into Q4: J.P. Morgan Outlook

Good Sunday morning to all! As mentioned throughout the week, due to the birth of my nephew, we will have to forgo our weekly Research Report. However, we are able to offer the latest SOTM video with Wayne Nelson and myself alongside the most recent analysts’ report from J.P. Morgan Chase. Please click the link…...

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Morgan Stanley Focus On Low Bar Set Up For 2020

At first glance, U.S. equities seem to be riding a bullish wave. The S&P 500 is up more than 20% in 2019, and the steady stream of IPOs for high-profile “unicorns” throughout the year suggested there was still appetite for growth-story stocks. In actuality, stocks are sitting under a pall of pessimism, with the market…...

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Markets Look Beyond the Wall of Worry

The market fell last week and snapped a 3-week win streak after the major indices danced around record highs. For much of the trading week, the market managed to go nowhere, until Friday’s headline concerning China’s decision to forgo a state visit to Montana. In fact, all the week’s losses were largely contained to Friday,…...

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Raymond James Weekly Headings

This week, I had the pleasure of presenting our market outlook to clients at an event held at the Brookfield Zoo in Chicago, IL. As I journeyed through the park, I realized that aspects of the day-to-day operations at the zoo and several of the animals seemed applicable to the state of the economy and…...

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Geopolitical Risk. Is This The Big One for Investors?

That makes a 3-week winning streak for the major averages. The S&P 500 rose roughly 1% in the past trading week as investors eyed and achieved the all-important 3,000 level. As shown in the chart below, the benchmark index is holding nearly 2% above the 50-DMA, while all moving averages are moving higher in a…...

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BofAML Quarterly Market & Economic Review/Outlook

Capital Market Outlook September 6, 2019 IN THIS ISSUE: • Macro Strategy—Central-bank easing and fiscal stimulus in a growing number of countries, together with the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) pivot from a hawkish to a dovish policy stance, appear to have helped diminish the downward global-growth momentum. While we are not surprised to see a rising…...

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Changing Market Tide or Just Staying Afloat?

That was the longest, short trading week I’ve ever experienced (Seth Golden taking the helm of this week’s reporting, so we may have a little fun along the way)! Maybe it was the threat of Hurricane Dorian or simply starting the week with a 20-point decline (.69%) on the S&P 500 (SPX). Whatever it was;…...

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