It May Be Time To Back Up Before Next Leg Higher?

In the week that was, the S&P 500 (SPX) found itself another leg higher, capturing new record-level highs and nearly hitting the 3,000 level. This was something we had foreseen as being the greater probability based on historic precedence. Remember that the NYSE A/D line had been setting record highs in the previous week, which…...

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Trade Truce, Check, S&P 3,000… We Shall See

A quick review from some of our notes in the prior weekly Research Report before we get started, if you please… “The most near-term risk to the market rally is the G-20 Summit meeting between President Trump and President Xi.  To reiterate, Finom Group believes the base case scenario is a trade truce that includes:…...

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How Do Cash Holdings Turn Into Equity Holdings?

Coming into the trading week, binary risks were looming amidst a rather strong June rally.  With the FOMC standing ready to deliver its message and rate path to the market, investors braced for a possible disappointment. When the FOMC announcement came, the flood gates let loose a barrage of equity buying that further lifted markets…...

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Weekly State of the Markets: 6/14/2019

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. In this week’s SOTM we discuss a vast variety of variables affecting the equity markets as they climb attempt to recapture their former highs. Please click the link to review the video, which runs about 1 hour and 20 minutes. Be careful with…...

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Retail Sales & Dissecting Trade War

Ahead of the opening bell on Friday, June 14, 2019, retail sales and industrial production data will be released. Analysts at Wells Fargo expect a 0.7% increase in retail sales headline.  “Retail sales have experienced a volatile monthly performance so far this year. In April, headline sales unexpectedly slipped 0.2% on the month, following an exceptionally…...

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Geopolitical Tensions Exact Toll On Global Economy & Investors

Despite the constant news flow and tweets discussing tariffs on Mexican imports, the S&P 500 (SPX) and peer indices all rallied sharply this past week. The Dow (DJIA) jumped 4.7%, its biggest weekly gain since November. It also snapped a six-week losing streak. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq (NDX) were up 4.4% and 3.9% this…...

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A Triple Top Spells The End of The Bull Market?

There are now at least 4 key ingredients drawing upon investor fears and which have resulted in a May, month-long market downturn.  The S&P 500 (SPX) finished down 2.6% from last week and 1.3% on Friday. And the cause of the month-long sell-off, resulting in a 6.58% drawdown: Hike in tariffs on imports from China…...

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Crazy Time For Markets and Investors

In the past trading week, investors/traders were once again at the mercy of trade headlines. It was only 2 weeks ago that “the tweets seen round the world” sent global equities tumbling.  The tweets from the Real Donald Trump Twitter account stated that existing tariffs would be elevated from 10% to 25% and that is…...

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The Geopolitical May Usurp Market Trends

The fears of profound losses to the equity markets in the event that tariffs have been increased were overblown… or were they? We wouldn’t let the sharp intraday reversal off the lows on Friday, which found the S&P 500 (SPX) finishing up nearly .40%, fool us into believing we’re out of the woods just yet. …...

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