@seth-golden totally agree with your points and am learning a bunch.

It’s a great day today after Pres. Xi announced plans to ‘open’ China. I frankly did not expect that, thought there would be more ‘tit’ for ‘tat’.

Could this be the start of the vix term structure going back into contango? M1 and M2 seem to be flattening. I hope earnings…[Read more]

Thanks @seth-golden! Am I reading this wrong or is VXX not spiking as much as back in Feb?

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Also, the VXST/VIX ratio is still above 1. Shouldn’t it fall below 1 historically?

The longer we’re in backwardation, the more VXX will continue to creep higher. Just very concerned – VXX seem to move up 50 cents every day due to…[Read more]

Thanks @seth-golden! That makes sense. Forward PE of 17 is about average and corp earnings are looking really good. Looks like there’s more left in this bull market.

Found this JP Morgan Guide to the Market Q1 2018: https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/gim/adv/insights/guide-to-the-markets/viewer

@seth-golden Thats a helpful perspective. What i meant by broken is that dont expect them to trade like they should in times of distress. else, no reason why VXX was trading at a higher % gain then both TVIX/UVXY on Feb 6th if i remember correctly.

P.S. VXX shorts availability are back on Fidelity @2.5% cost to borrow

Can you can provide a simple example? @seth-golden

@seth-golden can you explain or send link or article that explains how the LOB works?

@seth-golden Seth, I noticed you tended to dissuade this trade with that example of capital size “at this stage of the bull cycle.” So, how are you weighting this conclusion to @ultrafeel? Imo, the time management is the issue. It’s not worth all the time spent to manage a 10k account shorting vol (unless you did a set it and forget it core…[Read more]

Excellent Opportunity, like how @seth-golden and @david-moadel puts it. I’m glad I have liquidity going into this, just need to be disciplined when layering my shorts. I expect it to spike, but I sometimes short it too early.

My plan:
1. watch finomgroup for advice and guidance from the pros
2. only commit 10% of funds a day to short vol
3.…[Read more]

if you want to look at bitcoin’s past, it can get crushed and hover for months. I was early enough to the game that bitcoin has to drop a hell of a lot more than this for me to start suffering losses – so I’m lucky in that aspect. Take it for what it’s worth, but my gut tells me the exchanges and ICO’s and Mining sites are trying to accomplish…[Read more]