The Leuthold Group The Major Trend Index was unchanged at a High Neutral reading of +1 in the week ended November 22nd, and its four factor categories held steady at their recent levels. After a minor reduction in our tactical portfolios’ equity hedge in early November, those accounts are positioned with net equity exposure of…...
Good morning Finom Group investors/traders. As you traverse the year-end macro-market landscape of developments into 2025, please consider our 3rd-party Research as part of your weekly regiment of due diligence. We will be in the process of constructing two macro-market videos in the month of December, while updating our quant data in the coming weeks.…...
2024 is in its home stretch, with investor and market participants from all walks of life along for the ride. With that, welcome back Finom Group investors/traders! We certainly hope your 2024 has proven prosperous and educational, with Finom Group providing ample amounts of educational value at the very least. As we head into the…...
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Good weekend all! Please take some time to review the thoughts and ideas concerning the macro-market landscape since the 2024 Election and around Wall Street. Additionally, we have update some of our key quantitative studies which remain in focus through year-end 2024. As the macro-market ushers in a new White House Administration, markets may attempt…...
Capital Economics We have revised some of our key market forecasts in response to Donald Trump’s victory and the news that the Republicans are on course to regain full control of Congress. These include higher projections for the 10-year Treasury yield and the greenback. We have retained our predictions for the S&P 500, but have become…...
Good weekend all! During our off-reporting weekend, please consider our 3rd-party Research compilation from around Wall Street. Our final macro-market Research Report of 2024 will be delivered on November 24, 2024, and include an outlook for 2025. With the S&P 500 achieving 6,000 intraday this past Friday, investors should consider we have yet to enter…...
The Leuthold Group The Major Trend Index was unchanged at a High Neutral reading of +1 for the week ended November 1st. The Sentiment factors moved up a notch to -3, while numerous downgrades within the Technical work were not quite enough to knock that category’s reading down from a solidly bullish tally of +4.…...
Back in the 1980s, Dr. Ed Yardeni popularized the phrasing that concerned an investor population, which was believed to be working to “fight the Federal Reserve.” He coined the phrase bond vigilanteism. As the Fed was cutting rates “on and off” from 1984 – 1988, often times the long end of the Treasury yield-curve would…...
Markets: Job openings fell in September according to the latest JOLTS report out today, while our “Take this job and shove it indicator” also declined. Even still, as much as the US labor market continues to cool, it remains in decent shape. This is overall bullish for US equities as some weakness allows the Fed…...
