There are many things that we know about markets. Probably the most basic and understood truism of the markets is that they have a propensity to price in future expectations, they are forward-looking discount mechanisms. In other words, the changing daily price action is not usually about what is in the media today or even…
BY THE REAL HEISENBERG APRIL 5, 2020 Over the course of the last three months, the world was reminded that when it comes to outbreaks (and especially epidemics and pandemics), it’s nearly impossible to “stay on top of things”, as it were. Due to the myriad cognitive limitations inherent in being human, as well as the…
Goldman Sachs: The article below is from our BRIEFINGS newsletter of 31 March 2020 More than two months after imposing quarantines to battle the COVID-19 epidemic, China is on the economic road to recovery. Shao Ping Guan, head of the China Equity team and lead portfolio manager of Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s China Equity strategies, shared…
Howard Stanley Marks (born April 23, 1946) is an American investor and writer. He is the co-founder and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, the largest investor in distressed securities worldwide. In 2019, with a net worth of $2.2 billion, Marks was ranked 370th on the Forbes 400 rankings of the wealthiest Americans. Marks is admired in the investment community for his…
It was a rather volatile day for traders Tuesday, which “turned” out to live up to its “trade name”, Turn Around Tuesday. From Monday’s exuberance to Tuesday’s doldrums, implied volatility rolled lower despite the rather outsized level of intraday, realized volatility in the market as gauged by the total movement in the S&P 500 (SPX).…
If you are bullish on markets near-term, Monday’s market action likely increased your bullishness. The major indices all rose more than 3%, led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NDX), which is something we desired to see in order to aid in our belief in the 10% rally in the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) from the previous…
Today’s Daily Market Dispatch is a condensed version of our weekly Research Report (Published Sundays). If you appreciate the analysis, articulations and detailed content, upgrade to our Contributor Membership level and access our full-scale Research Reports & State of the Market videos weekly. Thank you, be safe and enjoy! Bear markets are never easy; they…
Services get pummelled in March; worse is to come Global Economics Update 24 March 2020 WRITTEN BY SIMON MACADAM The March Flash PMIs for advanced economies were dreadful. The composite PMI for DMs plummeted to a level just shy of its all-time low. With the lockdowns only getting underway, worse will come in April. Today’s…
A “buy everything rally” ensued on Tuesday, which is known as “turn around Tuesday and which has held true of late. The past 3 Tuesdays the S&P 500 (SPX) has closed up 4.9%, 6.0%, and 9.4 percent. If you only invested on Tuesday, the S&P 500 is up 16.6% so far in 2020. Unfortunately, the…
If you just looked at the closing prices for the major averages on Monday, you might have overlooked the significance in the headlines that surfaced before the market opened that day. The Federal Reserve said Monday it will launch a number of programs aimed at helping markets function more efficiently as the aim to help…
