There’s no secret as to what proved to move markets Monday as we continue through this holiday shortened trading week, U.S./China trade truce. But for those who don’t study the S&P 500 risk-pricing through the options market, they may have missed the reasons for the peak and valley action expressed Monday. In Finom Group’s weekly…
Where U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin left positive comments on the U.S./China trade feud Wednesday, China picked up the ball and ran with it. With the U.S. President in travels to Osaka, Japan for the G-20 Summit meeting that kicks off on Friday, the South China Morning Post reported that the U.S. and China have…
With the G-20 Summit still hovering above the markets and economy, UBS’ global head of economic research Arend Kapteyn suggests that the globe is “one step away” from recession. While escalation isn’t what UBS expects, a failed meeting between President Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping that results in a new wave of tariffs would mean “major” changes to…
U.S. equity markets were up, down and all around on Monday with only the Dow proving capable of holding any gains on the day. Commodities actually were the biggest gainers on Monday with Gold and Crude oil prices moving higher, carrying forward gains from the previous week. New sanctions from the U.S. were slapped on…
Now that the FOMC meeting is out of the way…but is it really? The event risk is clearly out of the way, but to be sure, the FOMC is more so a fundamental support mechanism of financial markets than ever before and will likely remain as such for the foreseeable future. Under this premise, investors…
It’s finally here folks. The FOMC will announce its rate decision and hold its press conference after the release of the FOMC statement, at 2:30 p.m. EST. This FOMC day like previous ones under the leadership of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell comes with great politicization, polarization and provocation from the White House and media coverage. …
Certainly we’ve all heard the term, “don’t fight the Fed”? As we enter rate decision and future rate forecasting week, the theme and terminology will loom large overhead the markets around the globe. As we discussed in this week’s weekly Research Report, a binary outcome for the week is founded upon the FOMC and ECB…
Welcome to our second in a series of interviews with financial market participants, analysts, economists and more. Finom Group’s second interview is with Matt and Mike Thompson/CFAs, of Thompson Capital Management. Please click the following link to review the interview whereby Andrew and Wayne discuss the markets and how the approach the market on a…
After a torrid start to the month of June, equities have cooled off a bit with Crude and Brent oil failing to find a solid floor and bond yields seesawing. In fact, even with crude oil falling to $51 recently, the S&P is nowhere near where it was even the last time Crude oil was…
The following screenshot depicts just how quickly the economic situation can change with an equity market near it’s top and as a major correction takes place, only to be followed by a V-shaped recovery. Household net worth had the biggest one-quarter decline, outside of the great recession, followed by the biggest one-quarter jump, outside of…
