It’s not often that the market allows you to hedge before a significant daily move, but that’s exactly what happened on Monday with the market opening flat to higher and before reversing course. In Finom Group’s weekly research report, we mentioned our desire to hedge against a probable move lower for the current reason, mainly…
The S&P 500 (SPX) weekly expected move was $72/points last week, but it blew past that once again and for the 5th time in the last 10 weeks. The market is proving less efficient here in the 4th quarter than in any of the previous quarters of the calendar year. What does this mean? In…
So we had a pretty strong rally in the major indices on Monday. By now, everyone is aware that a “trade truce” between China and the U.S. has resulted in the latest market uptick. The media has taken to task the trade truce, describing it as lacking substance and less likely to prove an actual…
Markets rallied hard on Wednesday and in unison with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicating that the FOMC was just below the “neutral rate”. In addition to this statement of great consequence, Powell also indicated that the Fed was looking more closely and willing to align with the economic data. Both of these statements and/or…
Everything bounced on Monday on… well there really wasn’t any significant news for which the market could reactively bounce. Sure the UK and EU agreeing on a Brexit format/plan was a positive, but it’s highly unlikely that would cause a greater than 1.5% move higher in the S&P 500 (SPX). No, we simply found some…
In our most recent research report (subscription required), we disseminated the weekly expected move for the S&P 500 starting the week of 11/12/18. As shown in the screenshot below, the weekly expected move is $50… and we got every bit of that weekly move in the very first trading day of the week. The major…
Wall Street held a post-midterm election rally on Wednesday with the Dow (DJIA) and S&P 500 (SPX) rallying just over 2.10% each. The strength in the two indexes was only dwarfed by the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NDX), which rallied over 2.6% on the trading day. As we suggested previously at Finom Group, should the market’s rally…
We expect a good deal of market anxiety to persist throughout the trading day as the media surveys, polls and analytics suggests this or that may come to pass in today’s U.S. midterm elections. As we mentioned in our latest research report, the elevated VIX (20.27 as of Tuesday morning) and front month VIX futures…
Let’s get right to the heart of the matter and as we look forward to the coming week, which should be an eventful one as it includes midterm elections. First up to bat we’re going to take a look, rather quickly, at the latest auto sales. “But you guys haven’t said much in reporting weeks…...
Back when I was in high school, oh soooo many years ago, a top-10 rap song by Ice Cube was popular. The title of the song was “Today was a good day”. What made the song so popular was the melody and the opening verse: Just waking up in the morning gotta thank God, I…
