Why rising rates and a flatter curve signal a potential downturn: The U.S. economy has seen a prolonged period of growth without a recession. As the business cycle has matured, the U.S. yield curve has flattened substantially. We expect further flattening and an increasing likelihood of curve inversion as the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates. Historically, an inverted yield curve has been a strong leading indicator of an…
The S&P 500 (SPX) has run fast, furious and unabated in it’s journey toward the 3,100 level. The benchmark...
Welcome back investors and traders! This past week proved a pretty strong bounce-back week for markets after the prior...
In 2015, I penned my first article on the subject matter surrounding VIX-leveraged ETF/ETNs. Back then, as if it...
The most painful thing to watch with traders is the belief that markets have to prove something to THEM,...
With financial conditions tightening and earnings growth slowing, the 12-month risk/reward for the broad indices looks unattractive at current...
Macro Strategy—No Respite For The Weary: After two years of a pandemic, the world now has to deal with...
While there is some sympathy for our mid-cycle transition, most think it’s too early, or not worth acting on....
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