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Category Archives: Weekly Articles

Markets Have Peaked: So Say the Bears, So Supports a Historic Timeline

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 18, 2018

After a rough open for the tech-heavy Nasdaq and usually supportive FAANG stocks, the market quickly rebounded intraday. All major averages, on the heels of a worse than expected Netflix subscriber addition number and share price plunge near 12% overnight, finished higher on the day. What may be even more remarkable than the intraday reversal…

Geopolitical Concerns Raised After Trump/Putin Summit As Netflix Disappoints Investors

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 17, 2018

At some point, and we don’t know when, the geopolitical risks will weigh more heavily on investor sentiment than they seem to be weighing at present. But until that point… It was the press conference that was heard around the world yesterday between President Donald Trump and Vladimer Putin. The conference has drawn criticism from…

Bank Earnings and Retail Sales Roll In With S&P Closing Above 2800

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 16, 2018

We have a busy reporting week, with more than 170 companies coming out with quarterly results, including 60 S&P 500 companies.   The following graphic identifies some of the key reports due out this week by date. Stocks posted strong gains last week, with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all rising more than 1.5…

Big Day For Banks As S&P 500 Looks to Break Out

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 13, 2018

As has been the case for much of the year, what goes down, must bounce upward. That’s exactly what happened on Wednesday with the major averages dropping sharply and bouncing higher on Thursday. The rollercoaster ride has been nothing short of spectacular with investors along for the ride. One might think the various ups and…

Tony Dwyer Has History of Markets on His Side: S&P 500 Going Higher?

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 12, 2018

Investors bore the brunt of President Trump’s announced $200bn trade tariffs on China, set to go into affect as early as September and after a review period. All three major indices fell on the day, but outperformed their global equity market peers by falling less than 1% across the board. Although China has vowed to…

Trumps Latest Round of Tough Tariffs And Twitter’s Pullback on Fake Accounts

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 11, 2018

Here we go again with tariff headlines front and center. The Trump administration on Tuesday evening released a list of 10% tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese goods, broadening trade war conditions with Beijing. The tariffs will not go into effect immediately but will undergo a two-month review process, with hearings Aug. 20-23. Immediately after the news…

Peak Markets & Recession Talks As Q2 Earning Season Comes Into Focus

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 9, 2018

As we learned last week, the health of the labor market remains very strong.  There are more job openings than job seekers, which is a first since 1970. The prime-age employment-to-population ratio, probably the best indicator of the health of the job market, is back to 2005 levels. How long will it be very strong is…

FOMC Finds A New Recession Indicator As Tariffs Go Into Effect

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 6, 2018

It was a strong showing for Wall Street yesterday and ahead of what is being called the launch of the largest economic trade war in history. The characterization was spirited overnight as tariffs went into place from both the United States and China on respective exports. Investors largely ignored the long since telegraphed tariff implementation…

Economic Data, Tariff Implementation and FOMC Minutes…Oh My!

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 5, 2018

Although it was only a one-day layoff with the markets closed for the 4th of July, it seems like headlines continued to roll in regarding global trade. The most significant or positive headline may have come out of the European Union. European officials are considering holding talks on a tariff-cutting deal between the world’s largest…

Corporate Buybacks, Margin Debt & Digging Deeper

Weekly ArticlesBy Seth GoldenJuly 3, 2018

Let’s keep this short, but sweet and hopefully the market will perform in kind today. Yesterday was quite the roller coaster ride as the Dow opened sharply lower by roughly 200 points, carrying its peer indices lower. But as the day progressed, the market achieved the most probable outcome, which would be to finish in…

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