The S&P 500 (SPX) weekly expected move was $72/points last week, but it blew past that once again and for the 5th time in the last 10 weeks. The market is proving less efficient here in the 4th quarter than in any of the previous quarters of the calendar year. What does this mean? In…
Thursday’s market activity was more troubling than what the daily chart assumes and when we broaden it out for the full year. While the October daily closing low proved, once again, to provide a floor for the S&P 500, these chart patterns tend to resolve unfavorably over the long run. What we’ve seen since the…
So we had a pretty strong rally in the major indices on Monday. By now, everyone is aware that a “trade truce” between China and the U.S. has resulted in the latest market uptick. The media has taken to task the trade truce, describing it as lacking substance and less likely to prove an actual…
Markets rallied hard on Wednesday and in unison with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicating that the FOMC was just below the “neutral rate”. In addition to this statement of great consequence, Powell also indicated that the Fed was looking more closely and willing to align with the economic data. Both of these statements and/or…
The market is definitively testing the resolve of long-term investors and has been since October you might say. Earnings are rising over 20% for 2018, sales are growing nearly double-digits and profit margins are at all time highs. But…the major averages are on the verge of turning negative for the year and with the Nasdaq…
Right now, it just doesn’t matter how good the earnings are, as the bears have their paws on the sell button and the bulls are overly concerned with prospects for the economy in 2019. With that as the backdrop for the market, corporate earnings that find companies beating analyst estimates and raising guidance have still…
Although equity futures rose sharply on Wednesday morning and CPI data proved innocuous, those gains were quickly erased once Wall Street opened to greater volumes. We’ll get to the CPI data in a moment, but knowing those gains were quickly going to be erased didn’t demand a crystal ball, and we’ll show you why! The…
Entering the trading week we were forced to understand there would be an additional selling force in the market. We disseminated information over the weekend through our weekly research report that identified the culprit that would plague the market this week. “Finom Group urges investors to remain cautious as the current trading week may find…
In our most recent research report (subscription required), we disseminated the weekly expected move for the S&P 500 starting the week of 11/12/18. As shown in the screenshot below, the weekly expected move is $50… and we got every bit of that weekly move in the very first trading day of the week. The major…
We expect a good deal of market anxiety to persist throughout the trading day as the media surveys, polls and analytics suggests this or that may come to pass in today’s U.S. midterm elections. As we mentioned in our latest research report, the elevated VIX (20.27 as of Tuesday morning) and front month VIX futures…
