Heading into Thursday’s market open on Wall Street we’ve got some good news and some bad news. Firstly, the bad news: U.S. equity futures are down across the board by roughly .5% in the 5:00 a.m. EST hour. Crude oil popped above $52 a barrel on Wednesday, but supply/output was higher than expected and the…
Is optimism creeping back into the market? Are investors signaling that it is “all clear”? Look, I get it, the market has rallied significantly off of the S&P (500) daily closing low of 2,351 and now looks to be stabilizing. Gaining stability, however, is a process that usually consisted of a low-level retest. Take a…
At its apex yesterday, the Dow (DJIA) was up some 350+ points. All major averages were up greater than 1% going into the 2:00 p.m. EST FOMC rate hike announcement. By and large, market participants were expecting/anticipating a dovish Fed rate hike. By and large, that’s what they got. The problem then, as the major…
https://zoom.us/recording/play/uLKp7zYwIfSYc33D1VLDzLwakfwsdbn73SZTEz-qBjqGtSeUR4UGzADv5ZYFgDpp?continueMode=true Outline Market Headwinds: (23 minutes) Apple (AAPL) share price Crude oil price/demand/supply Trade Truce i.e. U.S./China: Corporate uncertainty and investor uncertainty (14 minutes in) FOMC rate hike path, turned dovish, data dependency brought back (16 minutes in) New Home sales, housing commentary (21 minutes in) FedWatch Tool: rate hike probability 2. Government shutdown? (24…
It’s not often that the market allows you to hedge before a significant daily move, but that’s exactly what happened on Monday with the market opening flat to higher and before reversing course. In Finom Group’s weekly research report, we mentioned our desire to hedge against a probable move lower for the current reason, mainly…
The S&P 500 (SPX) weekly expected move was $72/points last week, but it blew past that once again and for the 5th time in the last 10 weeks. The market is proving less efficient here in the 4th quarter than in any of the previous quarters of the calendar year. What does this mean? In…
After some alarming headlines on the political front forced U.S. equity markets sharply lower for much of the trading day on Thursday, a late afternoon rally found the major averages slightly lower on the day. Ahead of the G-20 Summit, President Trump discussed with reporters the possibility of easing trade tensions with China. Trump had…
Markets rallied hard on Wednesday and in unison with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicating that the FOMC was just below the “neutral rate”. In addition to this statement of great consequence, Powell also indicated that the Fed was looking more closely and willing to align with the economic data. Both of these statements and/or…
I had a conversation with a client in the late evenings recently. Yes, in the late evening and as the selling pressure in the markets persisted last week. The conversation centered on the client’s e-mini Futures positions and the general sentiment for the market going forward. He was a bit confused as to the correlations…
