Plunging Core Inflation and Slower Growth will Force the Fed’s Hand * The risk of recession persists, though our base case remains a soft landing. The surge in third quarter GDP growth was the reddest of herrings, and it will not be repeated. Activity was boosted by the lingering effects of rapid household income growth in the first half of…
Pantheon Macroeconomics: 1H 2024 In The United States
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Macy’s Q4 2017 Review And A Look Forward
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
On February 27, 2018, Macy’s reported its Q4 2017 and FY17 results. With some retailers and especially Macy’s, following...
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SVB’s failure is not a Lehman moment
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
By Ian Shephardson of Pantheon Macro Economic Slowing Wage Gains will Give the Fed Room to Pause, but not...
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Weekly State of the Market: Is The Sharp Rebound Sustainable?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“The market indexes may have bottomed, but keep in mind, making a low, forming a bottom and reaching the...
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Weekly State of the Market: From Riches to Ditches & Back Again?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“I recommend the S&P 500 index fund and have for a long, long time to people,” billionaire investor Warren...
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The Momentum Continued Through Q1 2024…
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
As we construct this weekend’s macro-market Research Report, the February Personal Income & Expenditures (PCE) data has been released....
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Geopolitical Tensions Exact Toll On Global Economy & Investors
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 1
Despite the constant news flow and tweets discussing tariffs on Mexican imports, the S&P 500 (SPX) and peer indices...
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Energy positive returns 6 consecutive months. Stick with Epicenter in 2H2021.
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
STRATEGY: Stick with Epicenter in 2H2021. Strong markets stay strong. US COVID-19 deaths are “unvaccinated” Americans COVID-19 cases could...
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The Leuthold Group: Putting The “Sahm Rule” To The Test
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In January, the “inventor” of the yield-curve indicator—Campbell Harvey of Duke University—suggested that the inversion of the 10Y/3M spread...
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